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Exit Poll non-response vs. Census non-response: Q for TIA
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Original Post: Exit Poll non-response vs. Census non-response: Q for TIA
davidgmills deactivated Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 15th 2005
2668 posts
Tue Nov-08-05 01:50 PM
Original Post
 
 

Is there any correlation between the two?

If the non-response rates are different between the two yet the demographics prove to be the same, doesn't this indicate that non-response made no difference?

"We are the ones we've been waiting for...." The Elders, Hopi Nation.

Past liberal, past progressive, all the way to full blown dissident.... Me

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2 replies to this thread:
Exit Poll non-response vs. Census non-response: Q for TIA , davidgmills, Tue Nov-08-05 01:50 PM
#1: Just look at this graph. It proves there is no correlation., TruthIsAll, Nov 08th 2005
#2: This is interesting, davidgmills, Nov 08th 2005

Reply #1: Just look at this graph. It proves there is no correlation.
TruthIsAll Moderator Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
1399 posts
Tue Nov-08-05 03:50 PM
In response to Original Post

 
 
Edited by TruthIsAll on Tue Nov-08-05 03:52 PM



I do not have data for census non-response. But it's irrelevant.

The state exit poll response regression line is not parallel to the exit poll deviation regression.

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

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Reply #2: This is interesting
davidgmills deactivated Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 15th 2005
2668 posts
Tue Nov-08-05 04:38 PM
In response to Reply #1

 
 


http://www.census.gov/population/socdemo/voting/cp...

Unfortunately, I can't get this to copy from page 4 but in summary it says:

The basic CPS November 2004 non-response rate was 7.7% and the non-response rate for the November supplement was 7.3% for a combined non-response rate of 14.4%.

Since this is a much lower non-response rate than the exit polls, and the demographics of the exit polls still match the census, it seems to add more proof (at least to me) that non-response did not matter.

"We are the ones we've been waiting for...." The Elders, Hopi Nation.

Past liberal, past progressive, all the way to full blown dissident.... Me

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