OHIO ELECTION CALCULATOR

2004 Recorded 		
Kerry	Bush	
2.74	2.86	
48.9%	51.1%	

Exit Poll (WPE)	
54.4%	45.6%

Uncounted 3.0%			
75%	25%	
0.13	0.04	

Switched	
0.25	-0.25


												
		2000 Recorded				2004 Calculated 			
Voted	Rec	Unct	Cast	Deaths	Alive		Turnout	Voted	Weight	Kerry	Bush	
							DNV 	1.33	23.0%	60%	40%	
Gore	2.19	0.18	2.37	0.12	2.25		95%	2.13	37.0%	93%	7%	
Bush	2.35	0.05	2.40	0.11	2.29		95%	2.18	37.7%	11%	89%	
Nader	0.14	0.01	0.15	0.01	0.14		95%	0.14	2.4%	75%	25%	
												
Total	4.68	0.25	4.93	0.24	4.68		4.45	5.77	100%	54.1%	45.9%										      5.77
	3.12 	2.65 	 


SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 1
Effect of Kerry share of New and Gore voters

           Kerry Ohio Vote Share			
					
Kerry%	New voters (DNV in 2000)			
Gore 56.0%	58.0%	60.0%	62.0%	64.0%

97.0%	54.6%	55.1%	55.6%	56.0%	56.5%
95.0%	53.9%	54.4%	54.8%	55.3%	55.7%
93.0%	53.2%	53.6%	54.1%	54.5%	55.0%
91.0%	52.4%	52.9%	53.3%	53.8%	54.3%
89.0%	51.7%	52.1%	52.6%	53.1%	53.5%
					
		 Kerry Margin			
97.0%	0.54 	0.59 	0.64 	0.69 	0.75 
95.0%	0.45 	0.50 	0.56 	0.61 	0.66 
93.0%	0.37 	0.42 	0.47 	0.52 	0.58 
91.0%	0.28 	0.33 	0.39 	0.44 	0.49 
89.0%	0.19 	0.25 	0.30 	0.35 	0.41 
					
SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 2
Effect of Gore uncounted vote share and turnout 

Kerry Ohio Vote Share			
					
Gore%		Gore Voter Turnout			
Unctd	91.0%	93.0%	95.0%	97.0%	99.0%

85.0%	53.9%	54.1%	54.4%	54.7%	54.9%
80.0%	53.7%	54.0%	54.2%	54.5%	54.8%
75.0%	53.6%	53.8%	54.1%	54.3%	54.6%
70.0%	53.4%	53.7%	53.9%	54.2%	54.4%
65.0%	53.2%	53.5%	53.8%	54.0%	54.3%
					
		 Kerry Margin			
85.0%	0.51 	0.51 	0.51 	0.51 	0.51 
80.0%	0.49 	0.49 	0.49 	0.49 	0.49 
75.0%	0.47 	0.47 	0.47 	0.47 	0.47 
70.0%	0.45 	0.45 	0.45 	0.45 	0.45 
65.0%	0.43 	0.43 	0.43 	0.43 	0.43 


					

___________________________________________________________


2000-2004 COUNTY VOTING ANALYSIS

2000 county data: the initial 97.2% of the total recorded vote.
2004 vounty data: the initial 97.4% of the total recorded vote.

Gore won 46.5% of the initial votes and 53.1% of the final 129k
Kerry won 48.7% of the initial votes and 56.2% of the final 145k.

Net margin: actual and percentage change in Bush margin from 2000 to 2004.
Inc: number of 2004 voting machine incidents.
 

OHIO	        2000		      2000 Bush 2004			Margin	Margin	
County	        GORE	BUSH	NADER	Margin	Margin	KERRY	BUSH	Change	Net	Inc
Recorded	47.0%	50.5%	2.5%	165.0	118.6	48.9%	51.1%	-46.4	-1.43%	
Initial	       46.8%	50.7%	2.5%	176.4	136.5	48.7%	51.3%	-39.9	-1.40%	
Final 	       53.1%	44.3%	2.6%	-11.4	-17.9	56.2%	43.8%	-6.5	-3.47%	

DRE	       49.1%	48.2%	2.6%	-6.3	-45.3	52.6%	47.4%	-38.9	-4.4%	116
OPTISCAN     43.8%	53.9%	2.3%	56.2	69.9	44.7%	55.3%	13.7	0.5%	31
PUNCH	       46.8%	50.7%	2.6%	126.6	111.9	48.6%	51.4%	-14.8	-1.0%	101 

DRE										
Auglaize    	28.2%	69.9%	1.9%	7.9	10.7	25.8%	74.2%	2.8	6.7%	0
Franklin    	49.1%	48.3%	2.6%	-3.1	-41.4	54.1%	45.9%	-38.3	-7.3%	82
Knox    	34.0%	63.8%	2.2%	6.1	7.1	36.6%	63.4%	1.0	-2.9%	1
Lake    	45.9%	51.0%	3.1%	5.1	3.1	48.7%	51.3%	-1.9	-2.5%	0
Mahoning    	61.2%	35.8%	2.9%	-28.3	-33.5	62.9%	37.1%	-5.2	-0.5%	33

Pickaway    	37.5%	61.0%	1.6%	4.1	5.5	37.7%	62.3%	1.4	1.1%	0
Ross    	45.3%	53.1%	1.6%	2.0	3.2	44.7%	55.3%	1.3	2.8%	0
										
OPTISCAN										
Allen    	32.2%	66.1%	1.7%	14.3	15.8	33.3%	66.7%	1.5	-0.6%	0
Ashland    	32.2%	65.1%	2.7%	6.6	7.5	34.5%	65.5%	0.9	-1.9%	0
Clermont    	30.1%	68.0%	1.9%	25.7	36.4	29.1%	70.9%	10.7	3.9%	0
Coshocton    	39.6%	58.3%	2.1%	2.6	2.4	42.6%	57.4%	-0.2	-3.8%	0
Erie    	51.0%	46.5%	2.5%	-1.5	-2.6	53.4%	46.6%	-1.1	-2.3%	0

Geauga    	36.4%	60.3%	3.3%	9.9	10.4	39.5%	60.5%	0.5	-2.9%	0
Hancock    	28.9%	69.2%	1.9%	11.9	14.4	29.0%	71.0%	2.5	1.8%	0
Hardin    	37.9%	60.1%	2.1%	2.4	3.5	36.6%	63.4%	1.1	4.6%	0
Lucas    	58.1%	39.5%	2.3%	-33.8	-43.5	60.1%	39.9%	-9.7	-1.7%	31
Miami    	36.7%	61.2%	2.1%	10.2	16.0	34.0%	66.0%	5.8	7.4%	0

Ottawa    	47.8%	50.0%	2.2%	0.4	0.9	48.0%	52.0%	0.5	1.7%	0
Sandusky    	43.7%	54.0%	2.3%	2.5	3.9	43.8%	56.2%	1.4	2.1%	0
Washington	39.5%	58.4%	2.2%	4.9	4.9	41.6%	58.4%	0.0	-2.1%	0
										
PUNCH CARDS										
Adams    	35.3%	63.1%	1.6%	2.8	3.3	35.9%	64.1%	0.5	0.4%	0
Ashtabula    	50.9%	46.2%	2.9%	-1.8	-2.9	53.3%	46.7%	-1.1	-1.9%	0
Athens    	53.6%	40.1%	6.3%	-3.0	-7.5	63.7%	36.3%	-4.5	-13.8%	0
Belmont    	54.5%	43.0%	2.5%	-3.3	-2.0	53.0%	47.0%	1.4	5.5%	0
Brown    	36.7%	61.6%	1.7%	4.0	5.4	36.1%	63.9%	1.4	2.8%	0

Butler    	34.1%	63.9%	2.0%	39.0	52.6	33.7%	66.3%	13.5	2.9%	0
Carroll    	41.4%	56.3%	2.3%	1.8	1.3	45.1%	54.9%	-0.4	-5.1%	0
Champaign	38.3%	59.4%	2.2%	3.2	4.7	37.1%	62.9%	1.5	4.6%	0
Clark    	49.0%	48.7%	2.4%	-0.2	1.6	48.8%	51.2%	1.8	2.7%	1
Clinton    	32.0%	65.8%	2.2%	4.9	7.4	29.3%	70.7%	2.4	7.4%	0

Columbn    	47.4%	49.9%	2.8%	1.1	2.3	47.6%	52.4%	1.3	2.3%	0
Crawford    	35.5%	61.7%	2.8%	4.9	6.0	35.8%	64.2%	1.2	2.2%	0
Cuyahoga    	63.0%	34.0%	3.0%	-156.8	-217.6	66.8%	33.2%	-60.8	-4.6%	75
Darke    	33.6%	64.4%	1.9%	6.9	10.2	30.0%	70.0%	3.3	9.1%	0
Defiance    	38.5%	59.3%	2.3%	3.3	4.3	37.8%	62.2%	1.1	3.7%	0

Delaware    	31.2%	66.7%	2.2%	19.0	25.7	33.6%	66.4%	6.7	-2.8%	0
Fairfield    	35.5%	62.4%	2.1%	14.2	17.7	36.6%	63.4%	3.5	-0.2%	0
Fayette    	36.5%	61.7%	1.8%	2.3	3.0	37.0%	63.0%	0.7	0.8%	0
Fulton    	36.3%	61.7%	2.0%	4.7	5.3	37.6%	62.4%	0.7	-0.6%	0
Gallia    	38.6%	59.7%	1.7%	2.6	3.1	38.4%	61.6%	0.5	2.1%	0

Greene    	38.5%	59.1%	2.4%	12.8	17.5	38.5%	61.5%	4.7	2.4%	0
Guernsey    	43.6%	53.7%	2.7%	1.5	2.0	43.7%	56.3%	0.6	2.4%	0
Hamilton    	42.6%	54.9%	2.5%	44.1	24.7	47.0%	53.0%	-19.4	-6.2%	18
Harrison    	48.1%	49.1%	2.7%	0.1	0.5	47.0%	53.0%	0.4	5.1%	0
Henry    	33.1%	65.0%	1.9%	4.1	4.7	34.0%	66.0%	0.6	0.1%	0

Highland    	34.8%	63.6%	1.6%	4.3	5.9	33.6%	66.4%	1.5	4.0%	0
Hocking    	42.8%	54.5%	2.8%	1.2	0.8	47.1%	52.9%	-0.4	-5.8%	0
Holmes    	23.0%	75.0%	1.9%	4.6	5.7	24.0%	76.0%	1.1	0.0%	0
Huron    	38.8%	58.5%	2.7%	4.1	4.2	41.6%	58.4%	0.1	-2.9%	0
Jackson    	41.7%	56.5%	1.8%	1.8	2.9	39.7%	60.3%	1.1	5.8%	0

Jefferson    	52.3%	45.0%	2.7%	-2.4	-1.8	52.5%	47.5%	0.6	2.2%	0
Lawrence    	46.6%	51.7%	1.7%	1.2	3.3	43.9%	56.1%	2.1	7.1%	0
Licking    	37.5%	60.1%	2.4%	13.7	18.7	37.9%	62.1%	5.0	1.6%	0
Logan    	32.6%	65.0%	2.5%	5.8	7.4	32.1%	67.9%	1.6	3.5%	0
Lorain    	53.7%	43.4%	2.9%	-11.2	-16.8	56.2%	43.8%	-5.6	-1.9%	0

Madison    	36.4%	61.5%	2.1%	3.5	4.9	35.7%	64.3%	1.3	3.5%	0
Marion    	42.1%	55.5%	2.4%	3.2	5.2	40.7%	59.3%	2.0	5.1%	0
Medina    	40.4%	56.6%	3.0%	10.5	11.8	42.9%	57.1%	1.2	-2.1%	0
Meigs    	38.0%	59.6%	2.4%	2.0	1.8	41.3%	58.7%	-0.2	-4.2%	0
Mercer    	28.9%	68.9%	2.2%	7.1	10.1	24.7%	75.3%	3.0	10.6%	0

Monroe    	52.4%	45.5%	2.2%	-0.5	-0.8	55.3%	44.7%	-0.3	-3.7%	0
Montgomery	49.8%	48.2%	2.0%	-3.7	-3.5	50.6%	49.4%	0.1	0.3%	0
Morgan    	38.4%	58.6%	3.0%	1.2	0.9	43.2%	56.8%	-0.3	-6.6%	0
Morrow    	35.8%	61.8%	2.4%	3.3	4.7	35.4%	64.6%	1.4	3.1%	0
Muskingum    	41.6%	55.6%	2.7%	4.4	5.9	42.3%	57.7%	1.4	1.4%	0

Noble    	39.0%	58.3%	2.6%	1.1	1.2	40.8%	59.2%	0.1	-0.9%	0
Paulding    	38.3%	59.0%	2.7%	1.8	2.5	36.8%	63.2%	0.7	5.6%	0
Perry    	46.5%	50.8%	2.6%	0.5	0.6	48.1%	51.9%	0.0	-0.5%	0
Pike    	47.1%	51.2%	1.7%	0.4	0.5	47.9%	52.1%	0.1	0.2%	0
Portage    	50.6%	45.6%	3.8%	-3.0	-4.9	53.2%	46.8%	-1.8	-1.5%	1

Preble    	35.6%	62.2%	2.2%	4.7	6.3	34.7%	65.3%	1.6	4.1%	0
Putnam    	23.7%	74.8%	1.5%	8.7	9.8	23.4%	76.6%	1.2	2.0%	0
Richland    	39.4%	58.0%	2.5%	9.5	12.2	39.9%	60.1%	2.7	1.6%	0
Scioto    	45.7%	52.4%	1.9%	2.0	1.5	47.8%	52.2%	-0.5	-2.4%	0
Seneca    	39.6%	57.7%	2.8%	4.3	4.9	40.8%	59.2%	0.6	0.3%	0

Shelby    	33.9%	64.1%	2.0%	5.8	9.5	28.6%	71.4%	3.7	12.7%	0
Stark    	47.7%	49.7%	2.6%	3.0	-2.4	50.7%	49.3%	-5.5	-3.3%	1
Summit    	53.7%	43.6%	2.7%	-22.1	-36.7	56.8%	43.2%	-14.6	-3.5%	5
Trumbull    	60.6%	36.5%	2.9%	-22.4	-25.1	61.9%	38.1%	-2.7	0.3%	0
Tuscarawas	43.6%	53.5%	2.9%	3.6	4.9	44.1%	55.9%	1.3	1.8%	0

Union    	29.8%	68.1%	2.0%	6.3	9.0	29.6%	70.4%	2.7	2.6%	0
Van Wert    	32.1%	66.2%	1.7%	4.4	6.5	27.7%	72.3%	2.1	10.5%	0
Vinton    	41.9%	55.8%	2.3%	0.7	0.6	45.0%	55.0%	-0.1	-3.9%	0
Warren    	28.0%	70.5%	1.6%	28.5	41.1	27.6%	72.4%	12.6	2.2%	0
Wayne    	35.3%	61.9%	2.8%	10.9	12.0	38.2%	61.8%	1.1	-3.0%	0

Williams    	34.8%	63.0%	2.2%	4.3	5.4	34.9%	65.1%	1.1	2.1%	0
Wood    	43.9%	53.2%	2.9%	4.7	4.4	46.4%	53.6%	-0.4	-2.2%	0
Wyandot    	34.9%	63.1%	2.0%	2.7	3.4	33.8%	66.2%	0.7	4.2%	0
										
___________________________________________________________

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.