Once again, the FINAL National Exit Poll does NOT compute.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/pages/results/states/US/H/00/epolls.0.html

THE DEMOCRATS DID MUCH BETTER THAN THE FINAL EXIT POLL INDICATES!
They always do.

Remember Kerry in 2004? 
He won the 13047 respondent National Exit Poll timeline at 12:22am by 51-47%.
But the Final Exit Poll (13660 respondents at 2pm) said Bush won by 51-48%.

Fast forward to 2006.
The 7pm Montana exit poll said Tester won by 53-46.
The Final Exit Poll: 50-47.5
The recorded vote: 49-48

The 7pm Virginia exit poll said Webb won by 53-46. 
The Final Exit Poll: 50.1-49.9	
The recorded vote: 50-49.

What do 2004 and 2006 also have in common?
The Final Exit Poll was matched to the recorded vote.
It always is. That's SOP.
The Democratic vote was 3% too low.

Bottom line:
If the recorded vote was bogus and the election was rigged through uncounted
ballots and switched votes, you would never know it from the Final Exit Poll. 
But if you view the earlier exit poll timeline, you would be alerted to fraud.
And if you analyze the demographics, you would confirm the theft.

Let's start our analysis with the 116 GENERIC PRE-ELECTION POLL TREND LINE.
The Democratic vote share has been a steadily increasing trend line. 
On Nov. 7, the Dems held a 14.6% lead over the GOP.

Here's graphic proof:
http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/Election2006_16921_image001.png

The Generic trend line on Nov.7: 
Dem 51.8% - GOP 38.6%
Convert to 2-party shares: 
Dem 57.3% - GOP 42.7%
That's a 14.6% spread.
We will refer to the 14% spread in the following analysis.
_________________________________________

Lets look at the 2006 NATIONAL EXIT POLL, posted on CNN:

PARTY-ID			
.....	Mix	Dem	Rep
Dem	38%	90%	9%  C 38% too low, 90% too low, 9% too high
Rep	38%	7%	93% C 38% too high, 93% too high, 7% too low
Ind	25%	49%	46% C 49% WTF! Independents voted 60/40 for Dems

Total	101%	49.1%	50.3% C WTF! Are they serious?

IT'S PROOF THAT THE 2006 FINAL EXIT POLL IS BOGUS:
According to poll, the GOP won by 50.3-49.1%. 
Really?

1) 2006 Voters identified as 38% Democratic, 38% Republican, 25% Independent 
THIS IS ABSOLUTELY IMPOSSIBLE !
Here's why: 

a) The weights don't sum to 100. 
OK, no big deal here.

b) Dems outnumbered Repubs. 
Who was more motivated to vote this time?

c) The weights were 38D-35R-27I at the 12:22am 2004 NEP timeline. 
Look it up.

d) THE CLINCHER: 
The 2006 vote based on PARTY-ID weights/vote shares are IMPOSSIBLE! 
If the weights/shares are to be believed, then the GOP won the Generic vote!
Why, then, would you believe them?

The NEP UNDERSTATES the Democratic Generic vote share by 7%.
It OVERSTATES the GOP Generic vote share by 7%.
How do we know this?
Simple. The Dems won the final Generic Polls by more than 14%!

Since 2004, the Final NEP has become laughable, a sick joke.
Don't they realize they can't fool us anymore?
Don't they realize that we can crunch the numbers?
Would someone please get this to Olbermann?

2006 NATIONAL EXIT POLL 
Sample 13208 MOE 0.87%
Weights/shares adjusted to derive a 12% Democratic Generic spread 

PARTY-ID (adjusted)			
Dem	40%	93%	7%
Rep	35%	11%	89%
Ind	25%	60%	40%

Total	100%	56.1%	44.0%

That's more like it!
________________________________________________

HOW VOTED IN 2004
Using this demographic, the spread is 55.8 Dem-44.2 GOP. 
That's an 11.6% spread. But it's too low. Why? 
Because the Bush/Kerry/Other weights are bogus. 
Kerry won by 52-47%. The third party vote was 1%.

This is an analysis of how impossible Final Exit Poll weights 
were used to match a corrupt 2004 vote count: 
http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/BogusWeights.htm

2006 NATIONAL EXIT POLL 
Sample 13208 MOE 0.87%

HOW VOTED in 2004
........Mix Dem GOP
Kerry   45% 94% 5%  
Bush    46% 13% 85% 
Other    5% 62% 21% 
No       4% 79% 18%

Total 97.6% 54.5% 43.1%
2-pty  100% 55.8% 44.2%

Now let's adjust the weights and vote shares to derive a 14% spread.
We use 51 Kerry/46 Bush/1 Other/2 No weights.

The adjusted weights are based on the TRUE Kerry/Bush vote BEFORE it was stolen
with uncounted spoiled/lost ballots and vote switching. 

2006 NATIONAL EXIT POLL 

VOTED IN 2004
(adjusted weights and vote shares)			
........Mix   Dem    GOP
Kerry	  51%	 94%	5%  C Kerry's true 2004 vote
Bush	  46%	 13%	85% C Bush's true vote
Other	   1%	 62%	21% C Third parties had 1% of the vote
DNV	   2%	 79%	18% C did not vote in 2004

Total	98.3%	 56.1% 42.2%
2-pty	 100%  57.1% 42.9%

The adjusted Democratic 2-party national vote share is now 57.1%. 
That's within 0.2% of the Nov.7 trend line (see above).

_______________________________________________________________

GENDER 
Based on the 2006 National Exit Poll 2-party vote shares,
the national split was 54.4% Dem-45.6% GOP. 
That's an 8.8% spread. Much too low.

2006 NATIONAL EXIT POLL 
GENDER
(adjusted weights and vote shares)			
.......Mix Dem GOP
Male   48% 51% 47%
Female 52% 56% 43%

Total 98.5% 53.6% 44.9% 
2-pty  100% 54.4% 45.6%

Ask these questions, regarding national vote shares: 
WHY THE 2.8% DISCREPANCY BETWEEN "GENDER" AND "HOW VOTED"? 
WHY THE 5% DISCREPANCY BETWEEN "GENDER" AND "PARTY-ID"?

Once again, let's adjust the weights and vote shares to get a result which
approximates the Generic vote.

GENDER (Adjusted) 			
.......Mix Dem  GOP
Male 	46% 53%  47%
Female 54% 57%  43%
Total 100% 55.2% 44.8%

This is just further confirmation that the Final 2006 NEP was matched 
to a corrupt vote count, just as it was in in 2004 and 2000.

Edison-Mitofsky never consider the possibility of a corrupt vote 
count in discussing their exit poll methodology. 

WHY DO THEY DO THIS?
WHY DO THEY ALWAYS ASSUME ZERO FRAUD?
WHY DO THEY ALWAYS ASSUME A PRISTINE VOTE COUNT?

THAT'S WHY THE FINAL NATIONAL EXIT POLLS ARE ALWAYS WRONG.
THAT'S WHY THE FINAL EXIT POLLS ALWAYS LOW-BALL THE DEMOCRATIC VOTE.
THAT'S WHY THE FINAL EXIT POLLS NEVER MATCH FINAL PRE-ELECTION POLLS.
THAT'S WHY THE EARLY, UNCONTAMINATED EXIT POLLS ARE CLOSE TO THE TRUTH.

AND THAT'S WHY THEY'LL NEVER SHOW US RAW EXIT POLL DATA.
________________________________________________

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

This is why we have to be relentless in our push for an auditable paper record
of each and every vote.

Without an auditable paper record of each and every vote it is simply almost
impossible to prove fraud at the courthouse.

The law of the Statute of Frauds and Perjuries --  Any transaction, the
essential terms of which can be reduced to writing, must be written down to
prevent fraud and purjury.

Since 1677 this has been the law, first of the colonies, and then the US.

Voting is a legal transaction between the government and its citizens.

We abandoned the well understood lesson of the Statute of Frauds and Perjuries
when we began voting paperless back in the early part of the last century.

What a mistake.

"We are the ones we've been waiting for...." The Elders, Hopi Nation.

Past liberal, past progressive, all the way to full blown dissident.... Me

They have their victory and are not looking at the numbers or the fraud which
has taken place. Somehow your posts remind me or my posts in the Dungeon,
except for a couple of supporters it seems that hardly anybody cares.

You work your ass off, it's appreciated. You should be teaching a class at
Berkeley. Do you have a background in statistics?

Rock The Nation

got it in me, got it in me
ain't gonna quit until it all comes out
gonna do it, ain't nothin' to it
shake my hips, throw my head back and shout...

it's been a long education
but my homework is done
I'm gonna rock the nation
just wanna have... fun, yeah!

- Montrose

BS Mathematics
MS Applied Math
MS Operations Research

 

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.