The Gender Vote: Further Confirmation of a Kerry Landslide
TruthIsAll

According to the 2000 and 2004 Final National Exit Polls (which is
always matched to the recorded vote) the two-party gender vote shares were:

2000: Gore won 55.7% of women voters, but only 44.2% of men.
2004: Kerry won 51.5% of women and 44.4% of men.

How come Bush sharply increased his share of Democratic women voters
while his share of Republican males declined? One would expect a
positive correlation between the two groups.

Demographic Trend 1972-2004
http://www.geocities.com/electionmodel/NEPHistCorr...

Science works by assuming that the explanation which best fits the data is correct.
But it must continue to be tested against new data which either strengthens the
case or causes it to be rejected in favor of a better explanation.

Over 10% (net) of white females who voted for Gore defected to Bush;
Over 4% (net) of black females who voted for Gore defected to Bush;
1.4% (net) of white males who voted for Bush defected to Kerry;
0.87% (net) of black males who voted for Gore defected to Bush.

According to the Composite 12:22am National Exit Poll, Kerry won 11.3m (58.2%) of
the 19.5m net 2-party increase in voters from 2000 (101.5m to 121m).

Given the increase, how does one explain the 3.3m discrepancy between
Bush's 11.5m (22.8%) vote increase and his 8.2m (41.8%) share of new voters?

Kerry's recorded 59.0m vote was an 8.0m (15.7%) increase over Gore's 51.0m.
With a 58.2% share of 19.5m new voters his vote should have increased by 11.3m.

So Kerry apparently won by 62.3-58.7m. But he actually did much better than that.

First, there was a net 2% defection of Bush 2000 voters to Kerry.
Second, returning Nader voters preferred Kerry by better than 3-1.
These factors produce a Kerry 64-57m margin - assuming 122.3m recorded votes
(see the “True Vote” calculation below).
But approximately 3.4m ballots were uncounted and about 75% were for Kerry.
Therefore his true margin was close to 9 million votes (66.6-57.9m).

To believe that Bush won by the 62-59m recorded vote, one must believe
that his “mandate” was provided by women who in 2000 either
a) did not vote, b) voted for Gore, or c) voted for Nader.
But according to the NEP, Kerry won New voters by 57-41%, Gore voters by 91-8%
and Nader voters by 64-17%. So why should you believe it?


__________________________________________________________

RECORDED 2000/2004 GENDER VOTE (2-PARTY)

FEMALE
Gore won 55.7% of females
Kerry won 51.5% of females, a 4.15% decline.

Therefore, 4.15/55.7= 7.45% (net) of female Gore voters switched to Bush.

MALE
Gore won 44.2% of males.
Kerry won 44.4% of males, a 0.23% increase.

Therefore, 0.23/55.8= 0.41% (net) of male Bush voters switched to Kerry.

__________________________________________________________

THE WHITE VOTE

FEMALE
Gore won 49.5% of the White Female vote.
Kerry won 44.4% of the White Female vote (5.04% decline).

Therefore, 5.04/49.5= 10.19% (net) of White Female Gore voters switched to Bush.

MALE
Gore won 37.5% of the White Male vote.
Kerry won 38.4% of the White Male vote (0.88% increase).

Therefore, 0.88/62.5= 1.41% (net) of White Male Bush voters switched to Kerry.

__________________________________________________________

THE BLACK VOTE

Gore won 94.0% of the Black Female vote.
Kerry won 90.0% of the Black Female vote (4.00% decline).
4.25% (net) of Black Female Gore voters switched to Bush.

Gore won 87.6% of the Black Male vote.
Kerry won 86.9% of the Black Male vote (.76% decline).

Therefore,0.87% (net) of Black Male Gore voters switched to Bush.

__________________________________________________________
 
NATIONAL EXIT POLL 

2000 Final NEP
(matched to recorded vote)
 
      Mix   Gore  Bush Buchn Nader
Male  48%   42%   53%   1%    3%
Fem   52%   54%   43%   1%    2%
 
Total 100%  48.3% 47.8% 1.0% 2.5%
Votes 105.4 51.0  50.5  1.1  2.9
 
 
2004 NEP 12:22am update 
(13047 respondents)
 
	Mix	Kerry	Bush	Other
Male 	46%	47%	52%	1%
Fem 	54%	54%	45%	1%
					
Total	100%	50.8%	48.2%	1.0%
Votes	122.3	62.1	59.0	1.2
 
 
2004 Final NEP
(matched to recorded vote, 13660 respondents)
 
        Mix Kerry Bush Other
Male    46%  44%  55%   1%
Female  54%  51%  48%   1%
			
Total   100% 47.8% 51.2% 1.0%
Votes 122.3 58.4	62.6  1.2
 
 
2004 True Vote 
(adjusted to match "Voted 2000" True Vote - see below)
 
     	  Mix   Votes  Kerry  Bush  Other
Female 53.6%  65.5   55.0%  44.0%  1%  
Male   46.4%  56.7   49.5%  49.5%  1% 
											
Total   100%  122.3  52.4%  46.6%  1.0%  
                      64.1   57.0   1.2
				
__________________________________________________________

 
DEMOCRATIC 2-PARTY GENDER VOTE PERCENTAGE
Year    1992  1996 2000  2004 Change Wtd
Total   53.1  54.4 50.0  48.5 (1.52)(1.52)
 
Male    51.9  49.4 44.2 44.4  0.23  0.11 
Female  54.9  58.7 55.7 51.5 (4.15) (2.24)
 
WHITE				            
Male    48.1 43.7  37.5 38.4  0.88   0.32 
Female  50.0 52.7 49.5  44.4 (5.04) (2.07)

BLACK
Male    85.7 83.9 87.6  86.9 (0.76) (0.04)
Female  91.6 91.8 94.0  90.0 (4.00) (0.28)

__________________________________________________________
 
STATE EXIT POLL COMPOSITE
Nov. 3, 12:40am 
72,714 respondents
			
Gender Weight Votes    Kerry Bush Nader
Female 53.76% 65.7     52.4% 47.0% 0.6%				
Male   46.24% 56.5     47.0% 52.0% 1.0%	
 
Votes         122.3    61.5  59.7  0.97						
                       50.3% 48.9% 0.8%			
											
__________________________________________________________

  
NATIONAL EXIT POLL TIMELINE
Gender Demographic
 
       Sample    MIX       Kerry Gender Vote	
Update  Size Female Male  Female Male Total					
4:00pm   8349   58% 42%     53%  47%  50.48%				
7:33pm  11027   54% 46%     54%  47%  50.78%				
12:22am 13047   54% 46%     54%  47%  50.78%				
1:25pm  13660   54% 46%     51%  44%  47.78%	
 
__________________________________________________________
 
NATIONAL EXIT POLL                                          
Nov.3, 12:22am: 13047 respondents
 
VOTED IN 2000	                                                      

Weights adjusted based on
2000 recorded vote;                 
3.5% voter mortality;
98% turnout of 2000 voters
 
            Adjusted                Reported
     Voted   Mix  Kerry Bush Other  Mix  Kerry Bush Other
No	23.6  19.3%  57%  41%  2%     17%   57%   41%   2%
Gore	48.2  39.4%  91%  8%   1%     39%   91%    8%   1%
Bush	47.7  39.0%  10%  90%  0%     41%   10%   90%   0%
Other	2.8    2.3%  71%  21%  8%      3%   71%   21%   8%
							
Total 122.3 100% 52.4% 46.6% 1.0%   100%  51.4% 47.6% 1.0%
                 64.1  57.0  1.2    122.3 62.9  58.2  1.2	
 
 
 
 
   

 
 
 
 
 
 

										

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media. 
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls. 
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election 
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive). 
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote. 
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election. 
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.  
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
 Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes. 
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million. 
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE  margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud. 

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

The shift required to make the official numbers work is not possible. It is also
not possible that people were confused as to their gender. 

You who have wept 2000 years
For one who agonized for 3 days and 3 nights

What tears will you have left
For those who agonized
Far more than 300 nights and far more than 300 days?
How hard
Shall you weep
For those who agonized through so many agonies
And they were countless

They did not believe in resurrection to eternal life
And knew you would not weep.

Reluctant gender responders; in this case men who were embarrassed to be
switching over to Bush, so they wore wigs and claimed to be women.

Hey, makes as much sense as the "official" results.

Thank you, TIA.

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

Thanks for never giving up on getting the truth out!
Hugs and good thoughts,
Melissa

Register ALL the People! Count ALL the Votes! Make the process Transparent and Verifiable! And do it NOW!

No doubt the big flip was switching of the female to male votes.

"We are the ones we've been waiting for...." The Elders, Hopi Nation.

Past liberal, past progressive, all the way to full blown dissident.... Me