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NATIONAL EXIT POLL TIMELINE DETAIL
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Original Post: NATIONAL EXIT POLL TIMELINE DETAIL
TruthIsAll Moderator Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
1399 posts
Mon Jul-17-06 02:06 PM
Original Post
 
 
Edited by TruthIsAll on Tue Jul-18-06 07:32 PM

				KERRY NATIONAL EXIT POLL TIMELINE DETAIL		

We know that the Final was matched to the recorded vote.
Can any naysayer provide a detailed explanation of the underlying process in
generating the timeline from 4pm on Nov.2 to the 1:25pm Final? 

That means analyzing the change in weights AND vote shares for the four
timelines shown below - for all demographic categories.

No jargon, please. Just the facts.

Note: 
< change in weights / characteristics from 12:22am to Final (1:25pm)	
										
		 4pm 7:33pm 12:22am 1:25pm          4pm 7:33pm  12:22am 1:25pm
Respondents	8349	11027	13047	13660		8349	11027	13047	13660
										
		Category Weighting			Kerry Percentage		
GENDER										
Male 		42	46	46	46		47	47	47	44 <<<
Fem 		58	54	54	54		53	54	54	51 <<<
PCT		100	100	100	100		50.48	50.78	50.78	47.78
VOTE (mm)						61.72	62.08	62.08	58.42
										
REGION										
East		23	22	22	22		58	58	58	56 <<
Midwt		25	26	26	26		50	50	50	48 <<
South		31	31	31	32		44	45	45	42 <<<
West		21	21	21	20		53	53	53	50 <<<
PCT		100	100	100	100		50.61	50.84	50.84	48.24
VOTE (mm)						61.88	62.16	62.16	58.98
										
PARTY ID										
Democrat 	39	38	38	37<		90	90	90	89 <
Repub 	      36	36	35	37<<		7	7	7	6  <
Indep 	      25	26	27	26<		52	52	52	49 <<<
PCT		100	100	100	100		50.62	50.24	50.69	47.89
VOTE (mm)						61.89	61.42	61.97	58.55

IDEOLOGY										
Liberal 	22	22	22	21 <		86	87	86	85 <
Moderate 	45	45	45	45		58	57	57	54 <<<
Conservative	33	33	33	34 <		16	16	16	15 <
PCT		100	100	100	100		50.3	50.07	49.85	47.25
VOTE (mm)						61.50	61.22	60.95	57.77
										
VOTED IN 2000										
NoVote          15	17	17	17		62	59	57	54 <<<
Gore		39	38	39	37<<		91	91	91	90 <
Bush		42	41	41	43<<		9	9	10	9 <
Other		4	4	3	3		61	65	71	71
PCT		100	100	100	100		51.01	50.9	51.41	48.48
VOTE (mm)						62.36	62.23	62.85	59.27
										
WHEN DECIDED										
Today           6 	6	6	5		52	54	53	52 <
Last3Days  	3	3	3	4		50	54	53	55 >>
LastWeek 	2	2	2	2		48	48	48	48
LastMonth      10	  10	    10	10		61	61	60	54 <<<<<<<
Over30Days 	79	79	79	79		50	50	50	46 <<<<
PCT		100	100	100	100		51.18	51.42	51.23	47.5
VOTE (mm)						62.57	62.87	62.63	58.07
										
EDUCATION										
NoHS		4	4	4	4		50	52	52	50 <<
H.S. 		22	22	22	22		50	51	51	47 <<<<
College 	30	31	31	32 <		48	47	47	46 <
Grad		26	26	26	26		48	49	48	46 <<
PostGrad 	18	17	17	16 <		58	58	58	55 <<<
PCT		100	100	100	100		50.32	50.34	50.21	47.82
VOTE (mm)						61.52	61.55	61.39	58.46
										
RACE										
WM		33	36	36	36		40	41	41	37 <<<<
WF		44	41	41	41		47	47	47	44 <<<
NWM		10	10	10	10		69	70	69	67 <<
NWF		13	13	13	13		77	77	77	75 <<
PCT		100	100	100	100		50.79	51.04	50.94	47.81
VOTE (mm)						62.10	62.40	62.28	58.45
										
AGE										
18-29 	          15	17	17	17		56	56	56	54 <<
30-44 	          27	27	27	29<<		48	49	49	46 <<<
45-59 	          31	30	30	30		52	51	51	48 <<<
60+		27	26	26	24<<		48	48	48	46 <<
PCT		100	100	100	100		50.44	50.53	50.53	47.96
VOTE (mm)						61.67	61.78	61.78	58.64
										
INCOME										
0-15	       9	9	9	8 <		68	66	66	63 <<<
15-30 	      15	15	15	15		59	59	59	57 <<
30-50 	      22	22	22	22		53	52	52	50 <<
50-75 	      22	23	23	23		46	45	45	43 <<
75-100 	      14	13	13	14 <		49	49	49	45 <<<<
100-150 	11	11	11	11		44	45	45	42 <<<
150-200 	4	4	4	4		45	47	47	42 <<<<<
200+ 	          3 	3	3	3		40	41	41	35 <<<<<<
PCT		100	100	100	100		51.45	51.01	51.01	48.13
VOTE (mm)						62.90	62.36	62.36	58.84

RELIGION										
Protestant	53	53	53	53		43	43	43	40 <<<
Catholic 	27	27	27	27		50	50	50	47 <<<
Jewish	           3	3	3	3		77	77	77	74 <<<
Other 	           7	7	7	7		76	75	75	74 <
None 		10	10	10	10		69	70	70	67 <<<
PCT		100	100	100	100		50.82	50.85	50.85	47.99
VOTE (mm)						62.13	62.17	62.17	58.67
										
MILITARY										
InMilitary	18	18	18	18		43	43	43	41 <<
NoMilitary	82	82	82	82		52	53	53	50 <<<
PCT		100	100	100	100		50.38	51.2	51.2	48.38
VOTE (mm)						61.59	62.60	62.60	59.15
				

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

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