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Ohio Red Shift in 36/49 precincts (3 tied) mirrors the National (41/50 states)
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Original Post: Ohio Red Shift in 36/49 precincts (3 tied) mirrors the National (41/50 states)
TruthIsAll Moderator Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
1399 posts
Tue Jan-17-06 05:49 PM
Original Post
 
 
Edited by TruthIsAll on Thu Jan-19-06 06:21 AM 

The red shift in 36 of 49 Ohio precincts (3 tied) mirrored the shift in 41 of 50
states. 

http://www.exitpollz.org/cnn2004epolls/Pres_epolls/OH_P.html


OHIO EXIT POLL DEMOGRAPHIC SUMMARY			
12:22am update 
1963 respondents

							       ---Probability----	
CATEGORY				  Votes (mm)	Kerry	Kerry	Vote Dev
			Kerry 	Bush  Kerry	Bush	Margin   Win 1 in
GENDER      		52.06%	47.94%	2.934	2.701	0.232	96.61%	187
RACE/GENDER		51.76%	48.24%	2.917	2.718	0.198	94.06%	90
RACE			51.58%	48.42%	2.907	2.728	0.178	91.93%	60
AGE			51.39%	48.31%	2.896	2.722	0.174	89.10%	77
INCOME		      52.40%	47.13%	2.953	2.656	0.297	98.33%	1862
									
EDUCATION		50.94%	48.77%	2.870	2.748	0.122	79.76%	29
PARTY ID		51.80%	47.57%	2.919	2.681	0.238	94.47%	504
IDEOLOGY		51.10%	48.90%	2.879	2.756	0.124	83.52%	23
VOTED BEFORE?	       50.70%	49.30%	2.857	2.778	0.079	73.25%	11
RELIGION		50.96%	48.78%	2.872	2.749	0.123	80.26%	28
									
WHEN DECIDED	      50.96%	48.94%	2.872	2.758	0.114	80.26%	21

HOW BUSH IS HANDLING JOB			
                     50.12%	49.88%	2.824	2.811	0.014	54.23%	5
REGION		      51.57%	48.09%	2.906	2.710	0.196	91.80%	129
U.S. SENATE		51.96%	48.04%	2.928	2.707	0.221	95.88%	146
									
AVERAGE		      51.36%	48.46%	2.894	2.731	0.163	88.64%	54
ACTUAL		      48.71%	50.82%	2.740	2.859	-0.119 12.65%	2


GENDER DEMOGRAPHIC
Kerry  wins by 231 thousand votes.				

	Weight	Vote	Kerry 	Bush 				
Male	47%	2.644	51%	49%				
Fem	53%	2.981	53%	47%				
								
Total		      52.06%  47.94%				
Vote (mm) 	5.625	2.928	2.697				
								
_____________________________________________________________

KERRY WIN PROBABILITIES

MoE  	        2.21%						
+ Cluster     0.44% (20% incr)
Adj. MoE	2.65%						

Stdev =	1.35%	
(Adj. MoE / 1.96)					
							

DEVIATION FROM ACTUAL
	              Exit Actual 2Party			
Kerry                52.06% 48.71%	48.94%			
Bush 		       47.94% 50.82%	51.06%			
Diff			 4.12% -2.11%	-2.12%			
							

Probability of a Kerry win:
 = NORMDIST(.5206, .50, .0135, TRUE)

SENSITIVITY TO CLUSTER EFFECT:
Cluster Effect		0%	10%	20%	30%	40%	50%
Adjusted MoE		2.21%	2.43%	2.65%	2.87%	3.10%	3.32%

Probabilities:								
 of a Kerry win 	96.6%	95.2%	93.6%	92.0%	90.4%	88.8%
 of 3.12% dev     0.28%	0.60%	1.06%	1.67%	2.41%	3.26%


___________________________________________________________


                   EXIT POLL COMPARISON  								

	Ohio Exit Poll					National Exit Poll			
Nov. 3, 12:21am, 1963 respondents		Nov. 3, 12:22am, 13047 respondents			
										
GENDER
	Mix	Votes	Kerry	Bush		Mix	Votes	Kerry	Bush	Other
Male 	47%	2.65	51%	49%		46%	56.20	47%	52%	1%
Female	53%	2.99	53%	47%		54%	65.97	54%	45%	1%
	100%		52.06%	47.94%		100%		50.78%	48.22%	1.00%
		5.635	2.934	2.701			122.17	62.04	58.91	1.22

RACE/GENDER										
WM 	40%	2.25	47%	53%		36%	43.89	41%	58%	1%
WF	45%	2.54	47%	53%		41%	49.99	47%	52%	1%
NWM	7%	0.39	75%	25%		10%	12.19	69%	28%	1%
NWF	8%	0.45	82%	18%		13%	15.85	77%	22%	1%
	100%		51.76%	48.24%		100%		50.94%	47.86%	1.00%
		5.635	2.917	2.718			121.93	62.234	58.471	1.222	
											
VOTED BEFORE?			       VOTED in 2000
No	14%	0.79	55%	45%	 No	17%	20.77	57%	41%	2%	
Yes	86%	4.85	50%	50%	 Gore	39%	47.65	91%	8%	1%	
Total	100%	     50.70%	49.30% Bush	41%	50.09	10%	90%	0%		
            5.635	2.857	2.778	 Nader 3%	3.67	71%	21%	8%
						100%		51.41%	47.62%	0.97%	
							122.17	62.808	58.178	1.185	
											
AGE	
      Mix	Votes	Kerry	Bush		Mix	Votes	Kerry	Bush	Other
										
18-29	21%	1.18	60%	40%		17%	20.56	56%	42%	1%	
30-44	30%	1.69	50%	49%		29%	35.08	48%	49%	2%	
45-59	29%	1.63	51%	49%		30%	36.28	51%	47%	1%	
60-	20%	1.13	45%	55%		24%	29.03	48%	51%	0%	
	100%		51.39%	48.31%		100%		50.26%	47.69%	1.05%	
		5.635	2.896	2.722			120.95	61.403	58.263	1.283	
											
INCOME											
0-15	7%	0.39	73%	27%		9%	10.96	65%	34%	1%	
15-30	16%	0.90	66%	34%		15%	18.27	60%	38%	1%	
30-50	25%	1.41	53%	46%		22%	26.80	53%	46%	1%	
50-75	22%	1.24	44%	55%		23%	28.02	46%	53%	1%	
75-100	15%	0.85	50%	50%		13%	15.84	48%	51%	0%	
100-150	9%	0.51	44%	56%		11%	13.40	45%	53%	2%	
150-200	4%	0.23	39%	61%		4%	4.87	47%	53%	0%	
200-	2%	0.11	39%	61%		3%	3.65	41%	58%	1%	
	100%		52.40%	47.13%		100%		51.39%	47.39%	0.94%	
		5.635	2.953	2.656			121.83	62.784	57.897	1.148	

EDUCATION											
NoHS	4%	0.23	60%	40%		4%	4.89	53%	46%	1%	
HSGrad	29%	1.63	53%	46%		22%	26.88	50%	48%	2%	
College	28%	1.58	50%	50%		31%	37.87	48%	51%	1%
ColGrad	25%	1.41	47%	53%		26%	31.76	49%	50%	1%
Postgr   14%	0.79	53%	47%		17%	20.77	57%	41%	2%
	100%		50.94%	48.77%		100%		50.43%	48.18%	1.39%
		5.635	2.870	2.748			122.17	61.611	58.862	1.698
										
PARTY ID
      Mix	Votes	Kerry	Bush		Mix	Votes	Kerry	Bush	Other
										
Dem	38%	2.14	91%	8%		38%	46.17	90%	9%	1%
Rep	37%	2.08	6%	94%		35%	42.53	7%	92%	1%
Ind	25%	1.41	60%	39%		27%	32.81	52%	44%	2%
	100%		51.80%	47.57%		100%		50.69%	47.50%	1.27%
		5.635	2.919	2.681			121.51	61.928	58.031	1.552
										
IDEOLOGY										
Lib	21%	1.18	87%	13%		22%	26.61	86%	12%	1%
Mod	47%	2.65	61%	39%		45%	54.43	57%	41%	1%
Con	32%	1.80	13%	87%		33%	39.91	16%	82%	1%
	100%		51.10%	48.90%		100%		49.85%	48.15%	1.00%
		5.635	2.879	2.756			120.95	60.902	58.825	1.222
										
										
RELIGION
	Mix	Votes	Kerry	Bush		Mix	Votes	Kerry	Bush	Other
										
Prot	56%	3.16	46%	54%		53%	64.71	43%	56%	1%
Cath	26%	1.47	46%	53%		27%	32.96	50%	49%	1%
Jewish	1%	0.06	76%	24%		3%	3.66	78%	22%	0%
Other	6%	0.34	76%	24%		7%	8.55	75%	21%	3%
None	11%	0.62	72%	28%		10%	12.21	69%	29%	2%
	100%		50.96%	48.78%		100%		50.78%	47.94%	1.21%
		5.635	2.872	2.749			122.09	62.038	58.569	1.478
										
WHEN DECIDED										
Today	5%	0.28	60%	40%		6%	7.31	53%	40%	5%
3Days	4%	0.23	64%	36%		3%	3.65	53%	41%	4%	
Week 	2%	0.11	64%	36%		2%	2.44	48%	51%	1%	
Month	10%	0.56	62%	37%		10%	12.18	60%	38%	1%	
Before	79%	4.45	48%	52%		79%	96.24	50%	50%	0%	
	100%		50.96%	48.94%		100%		51.23%	47.95%	0.54%	
		5.635	2.872	2.758			121.83	62.588	58.581	0.660	

REGION											
Cuya 	13%	0.73	65%	35%	East  22%	26.74	58%	41%	1%	
NE	27%	1.52	55%	45%	Cent  26%	31.60	50%	49%	1%	
Cent	23%	1.30	47%	52%	South 31%	37.68	44%	54%	1%	
NW	11%	0.62	50%	49%	West  21%	25.52	53%	45%	1%	
SW	26%	1.47	46%	54%	    100%		50.53%	47.95%	1.00%	
	100%		51.57%	48.09%			121.54	61.733	58.581	1.222	
		5.635	2.906	2.710							
											
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB		     MILITARY
Approve 51%	2.87	7%	93%		Yes 18%	21.95	43%	55%	1%	
Disap	49%	2.76	95%	5%		No 82%	100.00	53%	46%	1%	
	100%		50.12%	49.88%		100%		51.20%	47.62%	1.00%	
		5.635	2.824	2.811			121.95	62.552	58.178	1.222	
											
SIZE OF COMMUNITY											
BCities	7%	0.39	50%	49%							
SmCities19%	1.07	62%	38%							
Suburbs	49%	2.76	51%	49%							
SmTowns	6%	0.34	55%	43%							
Rural	19%	1.07	40%	59%							
	100%		51.17%	48.45%							
		5.635	2.883	2.730							
											
SIZE OF COMMUNITY											
Urban	26%	1.47	59%	41%							
Suburb 	49%	2.76	51%	49%							
Rural 	25%	1.41	44%	56%							
	100%		51.33%	48.67%							
		5.635	2.892	2.743							
RACE											
White	86%	4.85	47%	53%							
Black	9%	0.51	84%	16%							
Latino	3%	0.17	72%	28%							
Asian	1%	0.06	72%	28%							
Other	1%	0.06	72%	28%							
	100%		51.58%	48.42%							
		5.635	2.907	2.728							
											
											
VOTE FOR U.S. SENATE											
Dem	43%	2.42	93%	7%							
Rep	57%	3.21	21%	79%						
	100%		51.96%	48.04%						
		5.635	2.928	2.707						
										
_______________________________________________________________										

OHIO EXIT POLL VS. NATIONAL SUMMARY COMPARISON

EXIT POLL DEVIATIONS
OHIO 
10 precincts to Kerry, 36 to Bush, 3 no change
Probability  7.82086E-05 (1 in 12,786)

NATIONAL
8 states to Kerry, 42 to Bush					
Probability: 5.81778E-07 (1 in	1,718,869)
								

MARGIN OF ERROR EXCEEDED
OHIO
MoE exceeded in 7 precincts for Bush, 1 for Kerry
Probability: 0.000208 (1 in 4,794)	
											
NATIONAL 
MoE exceeded in 16 states  for Bush,  none for Kerry
Probability: 5.24E-14 (1 in 19,083,049,268,519)

____________________________________________________________________


KERRY PRECINCT EXIT POLL/VOTE  DISCREPANCIES


Bush Kerry
953	1041						
47.8%	52.2%						

Average: 40 votes/precinct

N   Precinct#   Vote   Exit	WPD		Vote	Poll	WPD	%dev	Flip	MoE  >MoE?
1	48	22%	38%	-16%		9	15	-6	-40%	Bush	15.0%	Bush	
2	14	24%	28%	-4%		10	11	-1	-9%	Bush	13.9%		
3	7	25%	34%	-9%		10	14	-4	-29%	Bush	14.7%		
4	23	28%	31%	-3%		11	12	-1	-8%	Bush	14.3%		
5	26	28%	26%	2%		11	10	1	10%	Kerry	13.6%		

6	2	30%	41%	-11%		12	16	-4	-25%	Bush	15.2%		
7	3	30%	41%	-11%		12	16	-4	-25%	Bush	15.2%		
8	37	30%	32%	-2%		12	13	-1	-8%	Bush	14.5%		
9	29	32%	30%	2%		13	12	1	8%	Kerry	14.2%		
10	47	32%	43%	-11%		13	17	-4	-24%	Bush	15.3%		

11	21	34%	44%	-10%		14	18	-4	-22%	Bush	15.4%		
12	28	34%	43%	-9%		14	17	-3	-18%	Bush	15.3%		
13	6	36%	53%	-17%		14	21	-7	-33%	Bush	15.5%	Bush	
14	15	37%	39%	-2%		15	16	-1	-6%	Bush	15.1%		
15	43	37%	49%	-12%		15	20	-5	-25%	Bush	15.5%		

16	17	38%	48%	-10%		15	19	-4	-21%	Bush	15.5%		
17	19	38%	45%	-7%		15	18	-3	-17%	Bush	15.4%		
18	27	38%	67%	-29%		15	27	-12	-44%	Bush	14.6%	Bush	
19	30	39%	50%	-11%		16	20	-4	-20%	Bush	15.5%		
20	25	40%	68%	-28%		16	27	-11	-41%	Bush	14.5%	Bush	

21	18	42%	46%	-4%		17	18	-1	-6%	Bush	15.4%		
22	1	43%	50%	-7%		17	20	-3	-15%	Bush	15.5%		
23	40	43%	39%	4%		17	16	1	6%	Kerry	15.1%		
24	11	45%	41%	4%		18	16	2	13%	Kerry	15.2%		
25	46	45%	47%	-2%		18	19	-1	-5%	Bush	15.5%		

26	39	46%	54%	-8%		18	22	-4	-18%	Bush	15.4%		
27	13	47%	47%	0%		19	19	0	0%	Even	15.5%		
28	22	47%	41%	6%		19	16	3	19%	Kerry	15.2%		
29	5	48%	41%	7%		19	16	3	19%	Kerry	15.2%		
30	34	48%	54%	-6%		19	22	-3	-14%	Bush	15.4%		

31	16	51%	57%	-6%		20	23	-3	-13%	Bush	15.3%		
32	36	52%	66%	-14%		21	26	-5	-19%	Bush	14.7%		
33	50	52%	58%	-6%		21	23	-2	-9%	Bush	15.3%		
34	20	54%	69%	-15%		22	28	-6	-21%	Bush	14.3%	Bush	
35	42	54%	66%	-12%		22	26	-4	-15%	Bush	14.7%		

36	49	54%	58%	-4%		22	23	-1	-4%	Bush	15.3%		
37	4	55%	70%	-15%		22	28	-6	-21%	Bush	14.2%	Bush	
38	44	55%	55%	0%		22	22	0	0%	Even	15.4%		
39	31	57%	68%	-11%		23	27	-4	-15%	Bush	14.5%		
40	38	57%	41%	16%		23	16	7	44%	Kerry	15.2%	Kerry

41	35	62%	75%	-13%		25	30	-5	-17%	Bush	13.4%		
42	9	64%	67%	-3%		26	27	-1	-4%	Bush	14.6%		
43	41	66%	57%	9%		26	23	3	13%	Kerry	15.3%		
44	12	70%	68%	2%		28	27	1	4%	Kerry	14.5%		
45	32	71%	82%	-11%		28	33	-5	-15%	Bush	11.9%		

46	8	80%	90%	-10%		32	36	-4	-11%	Bush	9.3%	Bush	
47	33	81%	68%	13%		32	27	5	19%	Kerry	14.5%		
48	24	85%	87%	-2%		34	35	-1	-3%	Bush	10.4%		
49	10	96%	96%	0%		38	38	0	0%	Even	6.1%		
									-9.93%	Avg	14.51%		
Total                                       953	1041	-88	-8.43%	 2.21%	
						47.80% 52.20%						
_______________________________________________________________________________

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

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7 replies to this thread:
Ohio Red Shift in 36/49 precincts (3 tied) mirrors the National (41/50 states) , TruthIsAll, Tue Jan-17-06 05:49 PM
#1: The Graphs, TruthIsAll, Jan 17th 2006
#2: This is amazing work. The local and national...integrated., autorank, Jan 18th 2006
#3: this is truly unbelievable....., stealermachine, Jan 18th 2006
#4: I saw an indication of this early on..., anaxarchos, Jan 19th 2006
#5: Thanks , see my PM, TruthIsAll, Jan 19th 2006
#6: Keep them on the defensive, TruthIsAll, Jan 19th 2006
#7: You'll get screams of pain..., anaxarchos, Jan 19th 2006

Reply #1: The Graphs
TruthIsAll Moderator Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
1399 posts
Tue Jan-17-06 06:00 PM
In response to Original Post

 
 





http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

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Reply #2: This is amazing work. The local and national...integrated.
autorank Donor2 Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
2119 posts
Wed Jan-18-06 11:11 PM
In response to Reply #1

 
 

No wonder we have no faith.

Obrador for President Site

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Reply #3: this is truly unbelievable.....
stealermachine  Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Jan 07th 2006
96 posts
Wed Jan-18-06 11:20 PM
In response to Original Post

send this to landshark please, and anyone else with legal access.

truthisall this is astounding. the fraud for the votes was so completely obvious, that it even matched for gods sake, and this clown called mitofsky tells all of us it was due to deliberate poll errors....

i just can't even make that up!!! this was computerized fraud in a nutshell, the numbers have never looked this exact.....computer error.

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Reply #4: I saw an indication of this early on...
anaxarchos Admin Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
1956 posts
Thu Jan-19-06 10:03 AM
In response to Original Post

 
 
 

I don't remember who did it (it was a lot less comprehensive than this) but it
was before Mitofsky made his first defense. I figured Mitofsky would use the
equivilant to argue that the basic methodology of the 2004 survey was screwed
(even though that would have raised MANY other objectiosn).

Instead, Surprise! He defended his methodology and claimed WPE, etc... 

So, all the talk not withstanding, this looks like fraud.... ironically, even
by the diversionary "standards" (what was it? "testable
hypothesis"?) that OTOH was pushing just a couple of months ago.

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Reply #5: Thanks , see my PM
TruthIsAll Moderator Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
1399 posts
Thu Jan-19-06 11:17 AM
In response to Reply #4

 
 
Edited by TruthIsAll on Thu Jan-19-06 11:18 AM 

.

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

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Reply #6: Keep them on the defensive
TruthIsAll Moderator Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
1399 posts
Thu Jan-19-06 11:26 AM
In response to Reply #4

 
 
Edited by TruthIsAll on Thu Jan-19-06 11:32 AM 

Keep them on the defensive.
Febble & OTOH are reeling from the Dopp/Baiman exit poll fraud proof.

Or what about this one: 
"Kerry wins by 7 million across all demographics".
What are your thoughts? 

I use irrefutable, bounded How Voted 2k weights (assuming 98% turnout) as a
starting point to show how Kerry wins by 64-57mm across ALL demographic
categories.

Kerry was landsliding, E-M got careless when they had to re-weight the Final to
such a ridiculous extent (43/37) in order to match the corrupt votes.

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

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Reply #7: You'll get screams of pain...
anaxarchos Admin Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
1956 posts
Thu Jan-19-06 11:46 AM
In response to Reply #6

 
 
 

...on the 7 million number. Actually, it fits pretty well. I'm guessin' 2 to 3
million votes cast but spoiled, more than that stolen (probably
"switched"), and even room for the slight (very slight) Democratic
edge that the "critics" claim is built into the exits. I actually
asked Febble about this one once... "How does Mitofsky compensate for 2 or
3 million votes cast (mostly for Democrats) but not counted? How can Mitofsky be
'accurate'?". She said she would ask him... Never heard another word.

On the 43/37... Everyone assumes Mitofsky was "careless". He wasn't.
Try to reweight it yourself. The only group you can get to give you 90% Bush
votes is Bush 2000 voters. The alternative was to make the non 2000 voters
break radically for Bush (imagine the protests then). 

The other problem is the survey, like I pointed out in the last
"debate". It SCREAMS for attention. Just one point none have talked
about yet... according to the adjusted exits, Bush "won" in the
cities! Rural and suburban stayed about the same as 2000.

The biggest revelation in the NEDA stuff is that data was massaged.... I'm
shocked.

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