THE NATIONAL EXIT POLL 
           HOW VOTED IN 2000 DEMOGRAPHIC								

Assuming MAXIMUM FEASIBLE National Exit Poll "How Voted in 2000" 
weightings and 100% Bush/Gore 2000 voter turnout in 2004, 
Kerry is the clear winner in BOTH timelines.
			
We first prove that the NEP "How Voted in 2000" weights for both 
the 12:22am (41/39%) and 1:25 pm (43/37%) timelines are 
MATHEMATICALLY IMPOSSIBLE.

The Kerry vote/margin SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS is based on the 
12:22am (13047 respondents) timeline for 
100% Bush voter turnout; 
71-100% Gore voter turnout; 
51-60% Kerry vote share of 2004 voters who did not vote (DNV) in 2000. 

Time Respondents Bush/Gore Winner
12:22am 13047  (41%/39%): Kerry 51-48%
 1:25pm 13660  (43%/37%): Bush  51-48%

In 2000:								
Bush had 50.456 mm votes, 41.30% of the 2004 total (122.17).
Gore had 51.0 mm votes, or 41.75%.
Nader had 2.883 mm votes (2.36%).																			
The annual U.S. death rate is 0.87%, or 3.5% over four years.
Let's calculate revised MAXIMUM weightings, subtracting voters who
died:									
							Max weight				
		       Votes Pct 2004	Died	Alive	Pct 2004				
		Gore 	51.00	41.75%	1.79	49.22	40.28%				
		Bush 	50.46	41.30%	1.77	48.69	39.85%				
		Nader	2.88	2.36%	 0.10	2.78	2.28%				
												
Using the maximum weights and assuming that ALL 2000 voters turned 
out in 2004, Kerry is the clear winner in BOTH timelines.														
	 
VOTED IN 2000

                          12:22am		 1:25pm
Voted   Weight Votes	Kerry	Bush	Nader	 Kerry	Bush	Nader

No	17.58%	21.48	57%	41%	2%	54.%	45%	1%	
Gore	40.28%	49.22	91%	8%	1%	90%	10%	0%	
Bush	39.85%	48.69	10%	90%	0%	9%	91%	0%	
Other	2.28%	2.79	71%	21%	8%	71%	21%	8%	
			
Total 	100%		52.28%	46.78%	0.94%	50.96%	48.69%	0.36%	
	Vote 	122.17	63.88	57.15	1.14	62.25	59.48	0.44	
		Kerry margin: 6.73mm	Kerry margin: 2.77mm		
												
For the sensitivity analysis, we assume 
a) 12:22am NEP timeline
b) 100% Bush 2000 voter turnout 
c) Declining Gore voter turnout (from 100% to 71%). 

The analysis shows that even with a LARGE Bush 2000 voter turnout 
advantage, there is not ONE PLAUSIBLE Bush victory SCENARIO.

At the 12:22am timeline:
Kerry won 57% of those who DID NOT VOTE (DNV) in 2000.

For Kerry to TIE Bush, he needed a MINIMUM 80% Gore voter turnout.
Very plausible.

For Bush to WIN by 3 mm votes, he needed a MAXIMUM 71% Gore voter turnout.
Not plausible.

At the 1:25pm Final timeline:
Kerry won 54% of those who DID NOT VOTE in 2000

For Kerry to TIE Bush, he needed a MINIMUM 85% Gore voter turnout. 
Very plausible.

For Bush to WIN by 3 mm votes, he needed a MAXIMUM 77% Gore voter turnout.
Not plausible.

												
		National Exit Poll Sensitivity Analysis 				
                
                New Voter Share and Gore 2000 Voter Turnout
                Impact on Kerry Vote Percentage and Margin
	         (assume 100% Bush 2000 voter turnout) 								
													
		    Timeline        7:33pm		12:22am			1:25pm								

	   Turnout	 DNV        Kerry% of DNV 2000 
	Gore	Weight	2000	60%	59%	58%	57%	56%	55%	54%	53%	52%	51%
													
						Kerry National Vote 						
													
	100%	40.28%	17.58%	52.81%	52.64%	52.46%	52.28%	52.11%	51.93%	51.76%	51.58%	51.41%	51.23%
	99%	39.88%	17.98%	52.69%	52.51%	52.33%	52.15%	51.97%	51.79%	51.61%	51.43%	51.25%	51.07%
	98%	39.48%	18.39%	52.56%	52.38%	52.19%	52.01%	51.83%	51.64%	51.46%	51.27%	51.09%	50.91%
	97%	39.08%	18.79%	52.44%	52.25%	52.06%	51.87%	51.69%	51.50%	51.31%	51.12%	50.93%	50.75%
	96%	38.67%	19.19%	52.31%	52.12%	51.93%	51.74%	51.54%	51.35%	51.16%	50.97%	50.78%	50.58%
													
	95%	38.27%	19.60%	52.19%	51.99%	51.80%	51.60%	51.40%	51.21%	51.01%	50.82%	50.62%	50.42%
	94%	37.87%	20.00%	52.06%	51.86%	51.66%	51.46%	51.26%	51.06%	50.86%	50.66%	50.46%	50.26%
	93%	37.46%	20.40%	51.94%	51.73%	51.53%	51.33%	51.12%	50.92%	50.71%	50.51%	50.31%	50.10%
	92%	37.06%	20.80%	51.81%	51.60%	51.40%	51.19%	50.98%	50.77%	50.56%	50.36%	50.15%	49.94%
	91%	36.66%	21.21%	51.69%	51.48%	51.26%	51.05%	50.84%	50.63%	50.42%	50.20%	49.99%	49.78%
													
	90%	36.26%	21.61%	51.56%	51.35%	51.13%	50.91%	50.70%	50.48%	50.27%	50.05%	49.83%	49.62%
	89%	35.85%	22.01%	51.44%	51.22%	51.00%	50.78%	50.56%	50.34%	50.12%	49.90%	49.68%	49.46%
	88%	35.45%	22.42%	51.31%	51.09%	50.86%	50.64%	50.42%	50.19%	49.97%	49.74%	49.52%	49.30%
	87%	35.05%	22.82%	51.19%	50.96%	50.73%	50.50%	50.28%	50.05%	49.82%	49.59%	49.36%	49.13%
	86%	34.64%	23.22%	51.06%	50.83%	50.60%	50.37%	50.13%	49.90%	49.67%	49.44%	49.21%	48.97%
													
	85%	34.24%	23.62%	50.94%	50.70%	50.47%	50.23%	49.99%	49.76%	49.52%	49.28%	49.05%	48.81%
	84%	33.84%	24.03%	50.81%	50.57%	50.33%	50.09%	49.85%	49.61%	49.37%	49.13%	48.89%	48.65%
	83%	33.44%	24.43%	50.69%	50.44%	50.20%	49.96%	49.71%	49.47%	49.22%	48.98%	48.73%	48.49%
	82%	33.03%	24.83%	50.56%	50.32%	50.07%	49.82%	49.57%	49.32%	49.07%	48.83%	48.58%	48.33%
	81%	32.63%	25.24%	50.44%	50.19%	49.93%	49.68%	49.43%	49.18%	48.92%	48.67%	48.42%	48.17%
													
	80%	32.23%	25.64%	50.31%	50.06%	49.80%	49.54%	49.29%	49.03%	48.78%	48.52%	48.26%	48.01%
	79%	31.82%	26.04%	50.19%	49.93%	49.67%	49.41%	49.15%	48.89%	48.63%	48.37%	48.11%	47.85%
	78%	31.42%	26.44%	50.06%	49.80%	49.54%	49.27%	49.01%	48.74%	48.48%	48.21%	47.95%	47.68%
	77%	31.02%	26.85%	49.94%	49.67%	49.40%	49.13%	48.87%	48.60%	48.33%	48.06%	47.79%	47.52%
	76%	30.62%	27.25%	49.81%	49.54%	49.27%	49.00%	48.72%	48.45%	48.18%	47.91%	47.63%	47.36%
													
	75%	30.21%	27.65%	49.69%	49.41%	49.14%	48.86%	48.58%	48.31%	48.03%	47.75%	47.48%	47.20%
	74%	29.81%	28.06%	49.56%	49.28%	49.00%	48.72%	48.44%	48.16%	47.88%	47.60%	47.32%	47.04%
	73%	29.41%	28.46%	49.44%	49.16%	48.87%	48.59%	48.30%	48.02%	47.73%	47.45%	47.16%	46.88%
	72%	29.00%	28.86%	49.32%	49.03%	48.74%	48.45%	48.16%	47.87%	47.58%	47.29%	47.01%	46.72%
	71%	28.60%	29.26%	49.19%	48.90%	48.60%	48.31%	48.02%	47.73%	47.43%	47.14%	46.85%	46.56%
													
													
		
		    Timeline        7:33pm		12:22am			1:25pm				

	  Turnout	 DNV        Kerry% of DNV 2000 
	Gore	Weight	2000	60%	59%	58%	57%	56%	55%	54%	53%	52%	51%
				

						Kerry Vote Margin (millions)						

	100%	40.28%	17.58%	8.01	7.59	7.16	6.73	6.30	5.87	5.44	5.01	4.58	4.15
	99%	39.88%	17.98%	7.71	7.27	6.83	6.39	5.95	5.51	5.07	4.63	4.19	3.75
	98%	39.48%	18.39%	7.40	6.96	6.51	6.06	5.61	5.16	4.71	4.26	3.81	3.36
	97%	39.08%	18.79%	7.10	6.64	6.18	5.72	5.26	4.80	4.34	3.89	3.43	2.97
	96%	38.67%	19.19%	6.79	6.33	5.86	5.39	4.92	4.45	3.98	3.51	3.04	2.57
													
	95%	38.27%	19.60%	6.49	6.01	5.53	5.05	4.57	4.09	3.62	3.14	2.66	2.18
	94%	37.87%	20.00%	6.18	5.70	5.21	4.72	4.23	3.74	3.25	2.76	2.27	1.79
	93%	37.46%	20.40%	5.88	5.38	4.88	4.38	3.88	3.39	2.89	2.39	1.89	1.39
	92%	37.06%	20.80%	5.57	5.07	4.56	4.05	3.54	3.03	2.52	2.02	1.51	1.00
	91%	36.66%	21.21%	5.27	4.75	4.23	3.71	3.20	2.68	2.16	1.64	1.12	0.60
													
	90%	36.26%	21.61%	4.96	4.44	3.91	3.38	2.85	2.32	1.80	1.27	0.74	0.21
	89%	35.85%	22.01%	4.66	4.12	3.58	3.04	2.51	1.97	1.43	0.89	0.36	-0.18
	88%	35.45%	22.42%	4.35	3.81	3.26	2.71	2.16	1.61	1.07	0.52	-0.03	-0.58
	87%	35.05%	22.82%	4.05	3.49	2.93	2.38	1.82	1.26	0.70	0.15	-0.41	-0.97
	86%	34.64%	23.22%	3.74	3.18	2.61	2.04	1.47	0.91	0.34	-0.23	-0.80	-1.36
													
	85%	34.24%	23.62%	3.44	2.86	2.28	1.71	1.13	0.55	-0.03	-0.60	-1.18	-1.76
	84%	33.84%	24.03%	3.13	2.55	1.96	1.37	0.78	0.20	-0.39	-0.98	-1.56	-2.15
	83%	33.44%	24.43%	2.83	2.23	1.63	1.04	0.44	-0.16	-0.75	-1.35	-1.95	-2.54
	82%	33.03%	24.83%	2.52	1.92	1.31	0.70	0.10	-0.51	-1.12	-1.73	-2.33	-2.94
	81%	32.63%	25.24%	2.22	1.60	0.98	0.37	-0.25	-0.87	-1.48	-2.10	-2.72	-3.33
													
	80%	32.23%	25.64%	1.91	1.29	0.66	0.03	-0.59	-1.22	-1.85	-2.47	-3.10	-3.73
	79%	31.82%	26.04%	1.61	0.97	0.33	-0.30	-0.94	-1.57	-2.21	-2.85	-3.48	-4.12
	78%	31.42%	26.44%	1.30	0.66	0.01	-0.64	-1.28	-1.93	-2.58	-3.22	-3.87	-4.51
	77%	31.02%	26.85%	1.00	0.34	-0.32	-0.97	-1.63	-2.28	-2.94	-3.60	-4.25	-4.91
	76%	30.62%	27.25%	0.69	0.03	-0.64	-1.31	-1.97	-2.64	-3.30	-3.97	-4.64	-5.30
													
	75%	30.21%	27.65%	0.39	-0.29	-0.97	-1.64	-2.32	-2.99	-3.67	-4.34	-5.02	-5.69
	74%	29.81%	28.06%	0.08	-0.60	-1.29	-1.98	-2.66	-3.35	-4.03	-4.72	-5.40	-6.09
	73%	29.41%	28.46%	-0.22	-0.92	-1.61	-2.31	-3.01	-3.70	-4.40	-5.09	-5.79	-6.48
	72%	29.00%	28.86%	-0.53	-1.23	-1.94	-2.64	-3.35	-4.06	-4.76	-5.47	-6.17	-6.88
	71%	28.60%	29.26%	-0.83	-1.55	-2.26	-2.98	-3.69	-4.41	-5.12	-5.84	-6.55	-7.27
												
	

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

													
	Gore	Revised	Did Not				Kerry Percentage of New Voters						
	Turnout	Weight	Vote	60%	59%	58%	57%	56%	55%	54%	53%	52%	51%
						Probability of Kerry Winning Majority (over 49.5%)							

	100%	40.28%	17.58%	99.95%	99.9%	99.8%	99.7%	99.5%	99.3%	98.8%	98.1%	97.2%	95.8%
	99%	39.88%	17.98%	99.93%	99.9%	99.8%	99.6%	99.3%	98.9%	98.2%	97.3%	96.0%	94.2%
	98%	39.48%	18.39%	99.89%	99.8%	99.6%	99.4%	99.0%	98.4%	97.5%	96.2%	94.4%	92.0%
	97%	39.08%	18.79%	99.83%	99.7%	99.5%	99.1%	98.6%	97.7%	96.5%	94.8%	92.4%	89.4%
	96%	38.67%	19.19%	99.75%	99.6%	99.2%	98.7%	98.0%	96.8%	95.2%	92.9%	89.9%	86.1%
													
	95%	38.27%	19.60%	99.64%	99.4%	98.9%	98.2%	97.2%	95.6%	93.5%	90.6%	86.9%	82.2%
	94%	37.87%	20.00%	99.48%	99.1%	98.5%	97.5%	96.1%	94.1%	91.3%	87.7%	83.2%	77.7%
	93%	37.46%	20.40%	99.26%	98.7%	97.9%	96.6%	94.8%	92.2%	88.8%	84.4%	79.0%	72.6%
	92%	37.06%	20.80%	98.96%	98.2%	97.1%	95.4%	93.1%	89.8%	85.6%	80.4%	74.2%	67.0%
	91%	36.66%	21.21%	98.57%	97.6%	96.1%	94.0%	91.0%	87.0%	82.0%	75.9%	68.8%	61.0%
													
	90%	36.26%	21.61%	98.04%	96.8%	94.9%	92.1%	88.5%	83.7%	77.8%	70.9%	63.1%	54.7%
	89%	35.85%	22.01%	97.37%	95.7%	93.3%	89.9%	85.5%	79.9%	73.1%	65.4%	57.0%	48.3%
	88%	35.45%	22.42%	96.51%	94.4%	91.4%	87.3%	82.0%	75.6%	68.0%	59.6%	50.8%	41.9%
	87%	35.05%	22.82%	95.43%	92.8%	89.1%	84.2%	78.1%	70.8%	62.5%	53.6%	44.5%	35.7%
	86%	34.64%	23.22%	94.10%	90.8%	86.4%	80.7%	73.7%	65.6%	56.8%	47.5%	38.4%	29.9%
													
	85%	34.24%	23.62%	92.49%	88.5%	83.3%	76.7%	68.9%	60.2%	50.8%	41.5%	32.6%	24.6%
	84%	33.84%	24.03%	90.55%	85.8%	79.8%	72.3%	63.8%	54.5%	44.9%	35.6%	27.1%	19.8%
	83%	33.44%	24.43%	88.27%	82.8%	75.8%	67.6%	58.4%	48.7%	39.1%	30.1%	22.2%	15.6%
	82%	33.03%	24.83%	85.63%	79.3%	71.5%	62.5%	52.8%	42.9%	33.5%	25.0%	17.8%	12.1%
	81%	32.63%	25.24%	82.61%	75.4%	66.8%	57.2%	47.2%	37.3%	28.3%	20.4%	14.0%	9.1%
													
	80%	32.23%	25.64%	79.22%	71.1%	61.8%	51.8%	41.6%	32.0%	23.4%	16.3%	10.8%	6.8%
	79%	31.82%	26.04%	75.46%	66.6%	56.7%	46.3%	36.2%	27.0%	19.1%	12.8%	8.2%	4.9%
	78%	31.42%	26.44%	71.37%	61.8%	51.4%	40.9%	31.1%	22.4%	15.3%	9.9%	6.0%	3.5%
	77%	31.02%	26.85%	66.98%	56.8%	46.1%	35.7%	26.3%	18.3%	12.1%	7.5%	4.4%	2.4%
	76%	30.62%	27.25%	62.34%	51.7%	40.9%	30.8%	21.9%	14.7%	9.3%	5.6%	3.1%	1.6%
													
	75%	30.21%	27.65%	57.52%	46.5%	35.8%	26.1%	18.0%	11.6%	7.1%	4.0%	2.2%	1.1%
	74%	29.81%	28.06%	52.58%	41.5%	31.0%	21.9%	14.5%	9.0%	5.3%	2.9%	1.5%	0.7%
	73%	29.41%	28.46%	47.60%	36.5%	26.5%	18.0%	11.5%	6.9%	3.9%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%
	72%	29.00%	28.86%	42.66%	31.8%	22.3%	14.7%	9.0%	5.2%	2.8%	1.4%	0.6%	0.3%
	71%	28.60%	29.26%	37.83%	27.3%	18.5%	11.7%	6.9%	3.8%	1.9%	0.9%	0.4%	0.2%

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.