CENSUS 2004 DEMOGRAPHIC VOTE ANALYSIS									
									
The purpose of this analysis is to determine how closely the Census
demographics matched to the National Exit Poll (12:22am). We compare them to
the near-pristine National Exit Poll at the 12:22am time line (13047
respondents). The contaminated 1:25pm Final Exit Poll (13660 respondents) was
matched to a fraudulent vote count, so it is useless for comparative analysis.

The recorded 2004 vote was 122.27 million. According to the Census, 125.74
million voted (0.30% margin of error). That appears reasonable, since 3% of
votes are traditionally spoiled in every election - to the detriment of the
democratic candidate. The question is: of the 3%, how much spoilage is
innocent? But that is not the point of this analysis.

We've already dealt with How Voted in 2000 (the original "Clincher"
thread), Gender, Party-ID and Region in other threads. Here's more evidence
that the 12:22am NEP was close to the truth. 

The Census voting survey comparisons adds four demographics to the growing list
of Final National Exit Poll implausibilities: Age, Race/gender, Income and
Education. The Census demographic weights match very closely to their National
Exit Poll (13047) equivalents. Kerry won all four with very similar vote
shares, which were calculated using the 12:22am exit poll percentages applied
to equivalent census weights. Only demographic weightings are available in the
census, not vote share.

Kerry's National Exit Poll margin ranged from 2.75-4.89mm votes. His Census
margin ranged from 2.17-3.07mm, assuming the recorded vote total.

Since the National Exit Poll (1:25pm, 13660 respondents) demographic "HOW
VOTED IN 2000" Bush/Gore 43/37% weightings were proven to be totally
impossible, simple logic dictates that all other demographic weights and/or
percentages in that poll had to be fiction as well. If only ONE demographic
which has been matched to the vote is proven to be impossible, then all other
demographics, likewise matched to the vote, must also be impossible. A further
bonus: we get to have our cake and eat it, too, because the final vote must be
bogus if a poll which matches to it is proven wrong. That's a very simple,
compelling deduction, yet it's a difficult concept for naysayers to accept,
even though they must surely see the logic. Give them credit; they are expert
in throwing fog in truth's way.

"How Voted in 2000" was easy to disprove - the basic weightings are
directly verifiable. That's why we won the infamous GAME thread, the scene of
my last post at DU. Proving that the other ten demographics are also bogus is
more difficult. For example, how can the turnout (weight) of age 60+ voters as
a percent of the 2004 vote be verified? Only through an independent data set -
such as the Census.

Three major demographics remain to be analyzed: religion, when the voter
decided and ideology. Like all the rest, the weightings and/or percentages were
changed to match the recorded vote. How can we show that these changes were
implausible? Most likely, by independent surveys.

									

	    Census vs. National Exit Poll Vote Demographic Summary								
									
									
	Vote (pct)		      Vote (mm)		Kerry	
	Kerry	Bush	Nader		Kerry	Bush	Nader	Margin	

EDUCATION									
National Exit Poll
 	50.43%	48.18%	1.39%		61.66	58.91	1.70	2.75	
Census
	50.21%	48.40%	1.40%		61.39	59.18	1.71	2.20	
									
RACE AND GENDER									
National Exit Poll
 	50.94%	47.86%	1.00%		62.28	58.52	1.22	3.77	
Census
	50.30%	48.52%	1.00%		61.50	59.33	1.22	2.17	
									
INCOME									
National Exit Poll
 	51.39%	47.39%	0.94%		62.83	57.94	1.15	4.89	
Census
	50.30%	48.50%	0.93%		61.50	59.30	1.13	2.21	
									
AGE									
National Exit Poll
 	50.26%	47.69%	1.05%		61.45	58.31	1.28	3.14	
Census
	50.27%	47.76%	0.97%		61.46	58.40	1.19	3.07	
									
									



EDUCATION
	Pct	Total	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Kerry	Bush	Nader	
	Mix	Votes	Pct	Pct	Pct	Vote	Vote	Vote	

National Exit Poll

NoHS	4.00%	4.89	53.00%	46.00%	1.00%	2.59	2.25	0.05	
HSGr 	22.00%	26.90	50.00%	48.00%	2.00%	13.45	12.91	0.54	
Col 	31.00%	37.90	48.00%	51.00%	1.00%	18.19	19.33	0.38	
ColG 	26.00%	31.79	49.00%	50.00%	1.00%	15.58	15.90	0.32	
PostGr 17.00%	20.79	57.00%	41.00%	2.00%	11.85	8.52	0.42	
									
Total 	100.0%	122.27	50.43%	48.18%	1.39%	61.66	58.91	1.70


Census

NoHS	8.06%	9.85	53.00%	46.00%	1.00%	5.22	4.53	0.10	
HSGr 	28.55%	34.91	50.00%	48.00%	2.00%	17.45	16.76	0.70	
Col 	30.96%	37.85	48.00%	51.00%	1.00%	18.17	19.31	0.38	
ColG 	21.14%	25.85	49.00%	50.00%	1.00%	12.67	12.92	0.26	
PostGr	11.30%	13.82	57.00%	41.00%	2.00%	7.88	5.66	0.28	
									
Total 	100.0%	122.27	50.21%	48.40%	1.40%	61.39	59.18	1.71	
									
									
RACE AND GENDER						
	Pct	Total	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Kerry	Bush	Nader	
	Mix	Votes	Pct	Pct	Pct	Vote	Vote	Vote

National Exit Poll

W Male 36.00%	44.02	41.00%	58.00%	1.00%	18.05	25.53	0.44	
W Fem	41.00%	50.13	47.00%	52.00%	1.00%	23.56	26.07	0.50	
NW Male 10.00%	12.23	69.00%	28.00%	1.00%	8.44	3.42	0.12	
NW Fem	13.00%	15.90	77.00%	22.00%	1.00%	12.24	3.50	0.16	
									
Total 	100.0%	122.27	50.94%	47.86%	1.00%	62.28	58.52	1.22	
									
Census

White	79.19%	96.82	44.19%	54.81%	1.00%	42.79	53.06	0.97	
NonW	20.81%	25.45	73.52%	24.61%	1.00%	18.71	6.26	0.25	
									
Total 	100.00%	122.27	50.30%	48.52%	1.00%	61.50	59.33	1.22	
									
									
INCOME								
	Pct	Total	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Kerry	Bush	Nader	
	Mix	Votes	Pct	Pct	Pct	Vote	Vote	Vote	

National Exit Poll

0-15K 	9.00%	11.00	65.00%	34.00%	1.00%	7.15	3.74	0.11	
15-30 	15.00%	18.34	60.00%	38.00%	1.00%	11.00	6.97	0.18	
30-50 	22.00%	26.90	53.00%	46.00%	1.00%	14.26	12.37	0.27	
50-75 	23.00%	28.12	46.00%	53.00%	1.00%	12.94	14.90	0.28	
									
75-100 13.00%	15.90	48.00%	51.00%	0.00%	7.63	8.11	0.00	
100-150 11.00%	13.45	45.00%	53.00%	2.00%	6.05	7.13	0.27	
150-200 4.00%	4.89	47.00%	53.00%	0.00%	2.30	2.59	0.00	
200+ 	3.00%	3.67	41.00%	58.00%	1.00%	1.50	2.13	0.04	
									
Total 	100.0%	122.27	51.39%	47.39%	0.94%	62.83	57.94	1.15	
									
Census

0-15K 	5.73%	7.01	65.00%	34.00%	1.00%	4.56	2.38	0.07	
15-30 	12.08%	14.77	60.00%	38.00%	1.00%	8.86	5.61	0.15	
30-50 	20.58%	25.16	53.00%	46.00%	1.00%	13.33	11.57	0.25	
50-75 	24.02%	29.37	46.00%	53.00%	1.00%	13.51	15.57	0.29	
									
75-100 15.70%	19.19	48.00%	51.00%	0.00%	9.21	9.79	0.00	
100-150 13.55%	16.57	45.00%	53.00%	2.00%	7.46	8.78	0.33	
150-200 5.34%	6.53	47.00%	53.00%	0.00%	3.07	3.46	0.00	
200+ 	3.00%	3.67	41.00%	58.00%	1.00%	1.50	2.13	0.04	
									
Total 	100.0%	122.27	50.30%	48.50%	0.93%	61.50	59.30 1.13_	
									
									

AGE									
	Pct	Total	Kerry	Bush	Nader	Kerry	Bush	Nader	
	Mix	Votes	Pct	Pct	Pct	Vote	Vote	Vote	

National Exit Poll

18-29 	17.00%	20.79	56.00%	42.00%	1.00%	11.64	8.73	0.21	
30-44 	29.00%	35.46	48.00%	49.00%	2.00%	17.02	17.37	0.71	
45-59 	30.00%	36.68	51.00%	47.00%	1.00%	18.71	17.24	0.37	
60 + 	24.00%	29.34	48.00%	51.00%	0.00%	14.09	14.97	0.00	
									
Total 	100.0%	122.27	50.26%	47.69%	1.05%	61.45	58.31	1.28									

Census

18-29 	17.77%	21.73	56.00%	42.00%	1.00%	12.17	9.13	0.22	
30-44 	25.56%	31.25	48.00%	49.00%	2.00%	15.00	15.31	0.63	
45-59 	28.23%	34.52	51.00%	47.00%	1.00%	17.60	16.22	0.35	
60+ 	28.44%	34.77	48.00%	51.00%	0.00%	16.69	17.73	0.00	
									
Total 	100.0%	122.27	50.27%	47.76%	0.97%	61.46	58.40	1.19	
									

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.