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The 2004 National Election Poll: TRUE or FALSE? [View all]
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Original Post: The 2004 National Election Poll: TRUE or FALSE?
TruthIsAll Moderator Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
1413 posts
Sun Nov-19-06 03:37 PM
Original Post
 
 
Edited by TruthIsAll on Tue Nov-21-06 09:01 AM

Two Scenarios: The 2004 National Exit Poll

The recorded vote was Bush 51-Kerry 48-Other 1

SCENARIO I: THE 12:22am NEP (13047 RESPONDENTS)
Respondents told the truth about their 2000 vote:
38.5% of the respondents said they voted for Gore
38.0% of the respondents said they voted for Bush
21.0% of the respondents were new or did not vote in 2000.
2.5% voted for Nader (Other)				

The TRUE vote was Kerry 52.6-Bush 46.8%				

12:22am:How Voted in 2000 (not reported)				
	Mix	Kerry	Bush	Other
None	21.0%	57%	41%	2%
Gore	38.5%	91%	9%	0
Bush	38.0%	10%	90%	0
Nader	2.5%	71%	21%	8%
Total	100%	52.58%	46.80%	0.62%
		
				
But the 12:22am exit poll DID NOT MATCH the recorded vote.				
So the weights AND vote shares had to be ADJUSTED TO MATCH THE VOTE.		

SCENARIO II:  The 2pm ADJUSTED FINAL NEP  (13660 RESPONDENTS)			
The FINAL reported that Bush won by 50.7-48%, matching the recorded vote	

How Voted in 2000 				
	Mix	Kerry	Bush	Other
None	17%	54%	45%	1%
Gore	37%	90%	9%	1%
Bush	43%	8%	91%	0
Other	3%	71%	21%	8%
Total		48.05%	50.74%	0.78%
				
But how could these weights be possible?				
43% of the 122.3mm who voted in 2004 is 52.6mm.
Bush only got 50.46mm votes in 2000.
And about  1.7mm of them died.
				
But there WAS an explanation put forth to explain the adjustments. Obviously,
the respondents LIED or forgot who they voted for in 2000. They also lied about
how they just voted.

But the explanation defies logic. It doesn't change the fact that at most only
48.7mm Bush 2000 voters could have voted in 2004. So regardless of whether or
not the respondents lied or forgot, the FACT of how they actually voted in 2000
cannot be changed. So the 43% Bush weighting is impossible. The Final Exit Poll
is a non-starter.

Therefore, Kerry won.

Q.E.D.

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

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2 replies to this thread:
The 2004 National Election Poll: TRUE or FALSE? [View all] , TruthIsAll, Sun Nov-19-06 03:37 PM
#1: Removed post, TruthIsAll, Nov 29th 2006
#2: The NEP "Who did you vote for in the PRIOR election?" is IRRELEVANT, TruthIsAll, Nov 30th 2006
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