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18 Final National pre-election polls: OTOH at DU, eat your heart out
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Original Post: 18 Final National pre-election polls: OTOH at DU, eat your heart out
TruthIsAll Moderator Click to send a private message to this memberClick to view this member's profileClick to view posts by this memberClick to add this member to your buddy list
Member since Sep 14th 2005
1399 posts
Fri Dec-02-05 01:24 PM
Original Post
 
 

									
	FINAL NATIONAL PRE-ELECTION POLLS				

18 Poll Summary:						
Kerry won 9, Bush 8, 1 tie						
Kerry won 5 of 9 Registered Voter (RV) Polls				 
and 4 of 9 Likely Voter (LV) Polls				
									
									
Polling Data Source:							
http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm
http://www.economist.com/media/pdf/YouGovS.pdf								
		
	
Total	Poll	Total	Weighted Average			67%	33%
		Sample	Sample	MoE	KERRY	BUSH		KERRY	BUSH
Date		26961	Group	0.60%	47.55	47.30		49.95	49.05
									
1-Nov	Marist	1166	LV	2.87%	50	49		50.13	48.87
1-Nov	Econ	2903	RV	1.82%	50	47		51.24	47.76
1-Nov	TIPP	1284	LV	2.73%	44	47		50.35	48.65
1-Nov	CBS	1125	RV	2.92%	47	48		48.35	50.65
1-Nov	Harris	1509	LV	2.52%	48	49		51.31	47.69
									
31-Oct	Zogby	1200	LV	2.83%	47	48		48.37	50.63
31-Oct	FOX	1400	RV	2.62%	48	45		51.40	47.60
31-Oct	DemCorp	1018	LV	3.07%	48	47		47.75	51.25
31-Oct	Gallup	1866	RV	2.27%	48	46		50.51	48.49
31-Oct	NBC	1014	LV	3.08%	47	48		46.01	52.99
									
31-Oct	ABC	3511	RV	1.65%	47	48		48.65	50.35
30-Oct	ARG	1258	LV	2.76%	49	48		49.05	49.95
30-Oct	Pew	2408	RV	2.00%	46	45		50.55	48.45
29-Oct	Nwk	1005	RV	3.09%	44	48		48.78	50.22
26-Oct	ICR	817	RV	3.43%	48	48		53.16	45.84
									
24-Oct	LAT	1698	RV	2.38%	48	47		51.26	47.74
21-Oct	Time	803	LV	3.46%	46	51		47.38	51.62
20-Oct	AP	976	LV	3.14%	49	46		53.16	45.84
									
									
---------------------------------------------------------------------						
									
	BUSH	KERRY							
									
			Zogby Poll						
1 LV	48	47	10/4-31/04 REUTERS/ZOGBY TRACKING POLL: 3-day rolling sample of
approx. 1,200 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.9. 						
					Bush	Kerry	Nader	Other	
				10/29-31/04	48	47	1	4	
									
2 LV	49	50	Marist College Poll. Nov. 1, 2004. N=1,166 registered voters
nationwide (MoE ± 3); 1,026 likely voters (MoE ± 3).						
					Bush	Kerry	Unsure		
				11/1/2004	49	50	1		
									
									
3 RV	47	50	Economist  YouGov 		2903	total; MoE +/-2%			
			10/30-11/01 Bush	Kerry			
					45	49			
									

4 LV	47	44	TIPP tracking poll conducted by TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence.
Oct. 30-Nov. 1, 2004. N=1,284 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 2.8.   						
					Bush	Kerry			
				10/30 - 11/1/04	47	44			

5 RV	48	47	CBS News Poll. Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2004. N=1,125 likely voters
nationwide. MoE ± 3. 						
					Bush/	Kerry/			
					Cheney	Edwards			
				10/29 - 11/1/04	48	47			
									
6 LV	49	48	The Harris Poll. Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2004: N=1,509 likely voters
nationwide who express a preference. MoE ± 2.5.						
					Bush	Kerry	Nader	Other (vol.)	
				10/29 - 11/1/04	49	48	2	1	
									
7 RV	45	48	FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Oct. 30-31, 2004. N=1,400 registered
voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 1,200 likely voters (MoE ± 3).						
					George	John	Other 	Wouldn't					W. Bush	Kerry	Not Sure	Vote (vol.)	
				10/30-31/04	45	48	7	-	
									
8 LV	47	48	Democracy Corps Poll conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
(D). Oct. 29-31, 2004. N=1,018 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.						
					George	John	Ralph	Other	Unsure
					Bush	Kerry	Nader	(vol.)	
			10/29-31/04	47	48	1	1	3

9 RV	46	48	CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll. Oct. 29-31, 2004. N=1,866 registered
voters nationwide (MoE ± 3); 1,573 likely voters (MoE ± 3).						
					Bush/	Kerry/	Nader/	Other	None/
					Cheney	Edwards	Camejo	(vol.)	Unsure
			10/29-31/04	46	48	1	1	4


10 LV	48	47	NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling
organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Oct. 29-31, 2004.
N=1,014 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 3.1.						
			Bush/	Kerry/	Nader/	None/	Unsure
			Cheney	Edwards	Camejo	Other (vol.)	
	10/29-31/04	48	47	1	2	2
									

11 RV	48	47	ABC News Tracking Poll and Washington Post Tracking Poll. Rolling
sample. Fieldwork by TNS. ABC News and The Washington Post share data
collection for this tracking poll, but calculate and report the results
independently. WASHINGTON POST: Oct. 28-31, 200						
			Bush/	Kerry/	Nader/	None/	No
			Cheney	Edwards	Camejo	Wouldn'tOpinion
			ABC News Tracking Poll 						
	10/28-31/04	48	47	1	2	2
									
									
12 LV	48	49	American Research Group Poll. Oct. 28-30, 2004. N=1,500 registered
voters nationwide (MoE ± 2.5); 1,258 likely voters (MoE ± 2.8).						
			Bush/	Kerry/	Other/		
			Cheney	Edwards	Unsure		
			48	49	3		

13 RV	45	46	Pew Research Center for the People & the Press survey conducted
by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 27-30, 2004. N=2,408
registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 2.5); 1,925 likely voters (MoE ± 2.5).						
				Bush/	Kerry/	Nader/	Other/	
				Cheney	Edwards	Camejo	Unsure	
		10/27-30/04	45	46	1	8	
									


14 RV	48	44	Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates
International. Oct. 27-29, 2004. N=1,005 registered voters nationwide (MoE ±
4); 882 likely voters (MoE ± 4).						
				Bush/	Kerry/	Nader/	Other (vol.)/	
				Cheney	Edwards	Camejo	Undecided	
		10/27-29/04	48	44	1	7	



15 RV	48	48	ICR/International Communications Research poll. Oct. 22-26, 2004.
N=817 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 3.4); 741 likely voters (MoE ±
3.6).						
			Bush/	Kerry/	Other	Neither	Unsure
			Cheney	Edwards	(vol.)	(vol.)	
		10/22-26/04	48	48	-	1	4
									


16 RV	47	48	Los Angeles Times Poll. Oct. 21-24, 2004. N=1,698 registered voters
nationwide (MoE ± 3); 881 likely voters (MoE ± 3).						
			Bush/	Kerry/	Unsure		
			Cheney	Edwards			
	10/21-24/04	47	48	5		
									


17 LV	51	46	Time Poll conducted by Schulman, Ronca & Bucuvalas (SRBI)
Public Affairs. Oct. 19-21, 2004. N=1,059 registered voters nationwide (MoE ±
3); 803 likely voters (MoE ± 4). 						
			Bush	Kerry	Nader	Unsure	
	10/19-21/04	51	46	2	1	
									.


18 LV	46	49	Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos-Public Affairs. Oct.
18-20, 2004. N=1,330 registered voters nationwide (MoE ± 2.5); 976 likely voters
(MoE ± 3).						
			Bush/	Kerry/	Nader/	Other/	
			Cheney	Edwards	Camejo	None (vol.)/	
	10/18-20/04	46	49	2	3	

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.

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