Questions, questions- from January... still no explanation...

And the coaster didn't even consider the WP/NEP 12:22am timeline (13047)
in which Kerry led by...you guessed it, 51-48..

http://www.theleftcoaster.com/archives/003440.php#003440

Tuesday :: Jan 4, 2005 
Exit Poll Results Leaked Out, Causing Even More Questions

Remember when I speculated several weeks ago that Mr. Mitofsky's exit poll may
be subject to question when it was found out that he significantly
overestimated Bush's share of the Hispanic vote? As you will recall, the early
exit polls done in the early afternoon caused consternation at the White House
when they reflected that Kerry was winning by 2-3%. The official line from Rove
and later Mitofsky was that these polls had to be wrong because 1) they were
premature and had too many Democrats in them; and 2) obviously GOP voters
weren?t responding to the exit poll requests as they were leaving the polls.
This left us with the conclusion that a flood of GOP voters swept over the
polls late on Election Day to deliver the election to Bush, even though to this
day there is no evidence of that, or Rove?s claims about the early exit polls.

Well now, it turns out that someone has posted Mitofsky's PDF exit poll files,
which show the first set of exit polls done early Tuesday afternoon on Election
Day (which caused the heartburn at the White House), another set of exit polls
done as polls were closing on Election Day, and the final exit polls released
the next day after Mitofsky weighted them to match the tallied 51%-48% Bush
victory.

I haven't had much time to dig into the actual PDFs that were posted, but what
I found troubles me so far. 

First, in order to get the final 11/3 weighted exit poll to match Bush's final
tallied count of a 51%-48% margin, 60% of Mitofsky's sample of 13,660
respondents had to be pulled from the South and Midwest (over 8100 of the
13,660 came from these two regions) while the West and East regions (in other
words, Kerry country) were suppressed in the weighted exit poll that Mitofsky
did the day after the election to conform to the tallied results.

Second, if you want to accept the South's regional final (11/3) weighted exit
poll results that were used by Mitofsky to construct his final conforming exit
poll with a 51%-48% result for Bush, you would also have to accept that the
South went 58%-42% for Bush. Yet the exit poll on 11/2 done near poll closing
(7:33 PM Eastern) had only a 54%-45% Bush advantage, but it had the same gender
breakdown as the 11/3 conforming poll the next day. So in order for Mitofsky to
weight the final exit poll to reflect the tallied vote results of a 51%-48%
Bush victory, he had to find a way to weight the South with a larger tilt to
Bush than it had the day before while keeping the gender breakdown consistent
with what it was on 11/2. 

And he had to pull 60% of his final exit poll sample from the South and the
Midwest in order to make his final national exit poll reflect the tallied
results. 

I ask you: how plausible is all of this? 

I'll have more on this in the days ahead after more sleep and better informed
people weigh in. But feel free to check out the tables yourself, and you will
see that in order to get his final exit poll the day after the election to
conform to a tallied 51%-48% result for Bush, Mitofsky had to do some real
contortions with his poll results, and suppress the vote for Kerry in all
regions from what was reported in the last exit poll on Election Day the night
before while somehow keeping the gender breakdown the same.

Yeah, right.

http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?a...



These FACTS are never discussed in the media.
- election fraud
- undecided voters break for the challenger, especially if the incumbent is unpopular. Bush was at 48%.
- Many newly registered voters are not included in LV (likely voter) polls.
- Since 1988, Democrats have won 60-70% of new voters. In 2008, Obama had 71%+.
- MILLIONS of mostly (70-80%) Democratic votes are uncounted in every election
- The 2004/2006/2008 Final National Exit Polls indicated there were millions of returning phantom Bush voters from the prior election (more than were alive).
- The Final National and State exit polls are always FORCED TO MATCH the recorded vote.
- By definition, the RECORDED VOTE never reflects the TRUE VOTE since millions of votes are UNCOUNTED in EVERY election.
- Uncounted votes alone provide overwhelming evidence that elections were stolen in 1968, 1988, 2000 and 2004.
- 1968: 6 million net uncounted votes.
Nixon won the recorded vote by 500,000.
- 1988: 10.6 million net uncounted votes. Bush won the recorded vote by 7m.
- 2000: 5.4 million net uncounted votes. Gore won the recorded vote by 540,000.
- 2004: Nearly 4 million uncounted votes.
Bush won the recorded vote by 3.0 million.
Kerry won the True Vote by 10m.
Approximately 5 million were switched from Kerry to Bush on UNVERIFIABLE voting machines.

- 2006 midterms: Democrats won by more than double the recorded 52-46%% margin.
10-20 House seats were stolen.

- 2008: Obama won by more than double his recorded 9.5m margin.

1988-2008: the average Democratic TRUE VOTE margin was reduced from 10% to a 4% RECORDED MARGIN by Election Fraud.

VOTER FRAUD was virtually non-existent.