This is an analysis of historical elections.
The uncounted vote assumption is based on historical statistics.
They include spoiled, lost, absentee and provisional ballots.
The Democrats always lose a majority (75%) of the uncounted vote (UV).
The switched vote (SV) estimate is derived from the SIMPLE MATH formula:
Recorded vote = Total - Uncounted - Switched
RV = TV - UV - SV
In 2004, the adjusted 12:22am National Exit Poll projected a
52.5-46.5% Kerry win.
Bush won the RECORDED vote by 62.04-59.03mm (50.73-48.28%).
There were a total of 122.3mm recorded votes.
The Census reported 125.74mm votes were cast.
There were 3.44mm uncounted votes.
Kerry lost 2.58mm (75%) of the UNCOUNTED votes.
Therefore, 4.40mm (6.93%) of Kerry's votes (63.43mm) were SWITCHED to Bush.
SV = TV - UV - RV
SV = 66.01 - 2.58 - 59.03
SV = 4.40 = 63.35 - 59.03
_____________________________________________________
2006
Uncounted 4.00%
Switched 6.05%
Projected: 57-41-2% (120-Generic poll trend, 7pm NEP, Wikipedia vote count)
............ Dem Rep Other Total Dem Rep Other
Recorded 40.320 34.570 1.690 76.580 52.65% 45.14% 2.21%
Projected 45.469 32.706 1.595 79.771 57.00% 41.00% 2.00%
Uncounted -2.393 -0.734 -0.064 -3.191 -3.00% -0.92% -0.08%
Pre-Switch 43.076 31.972 1.532 76.580 56.25% 41.75% 2.00%
Switched -2.606 2.606 0.000 0.000 -3.40% 3.40% 0.00%
Calculated 40.470 34.578 1.532 76.580 52.85% 45.15% 2.00%
_____________________________________________________
2004
Uncounted 2.74%
Switched 6.93%
Projected 52.5% 46.5% 1.0%
............ Kerry Bush Other Total Kerry Bush Other
Recorded 59.03 62.04 1.23 122.30 48.27% 50.73% 1.00%
Projected 66.01 58.47 1.26 125.74 52.50% 46.50% 1.00%
Uncounted -2.58 -0.83 -0.03 -3.45 -2.06% -0.66% -0.03%
Pre-Switch 63.43 57.64 1.22 122.30 51.87% 47.13% 1.00%
Switched -4.40 4.40 0.00 0.00 -3.59% 3.59% 0.00%
Calculated 59.03 62.04 1.22 122.30 48.27% 50.73% 1.00%
_____________________________________________________
2000
Uncounted 3.00%
Switched 1.00%
Projected 50-47-3%
............ Gore Bush Other Total Gore Bush Other
Recorded 51.00 50.46 3.28 104.74 48.70% 48.18% 3.13%
Projected 53.99 50.75 3.24 107.98 50.00% 47.00% 3.00%
Uncounted -2.43 -0.68 -0.13 -3.24 -2.25% -0.63% -0.12%
Pre-Switch 51.56 50.07 3.11 104.74 49.23% 47.80% 2.97%
Switched -0.52 0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.49% 0.49% 0.00%
Calculated 51.04 50.58 3.11 104.74 48.73% 48.30% 2.97%
_____________________________________________________
1996
Uncounted 3.50%
Switched 0.00%
Projected 51-41-8%
............ Clinton Dole Perot Total Clinton Dole Perot
Recorded 45.59 37.82 7.87 91.27 49.95% 41.43% 8.62%
Projected 48.24 38.78 7.57 94.58 51.00% 41.00% 8.00%
Uncounted -2.48 -0.70 -0.13 -3.31 -2.63% -0.74% -0.14%
Pre-Switch 45.75 38.08 7.43 91.27 50.13% 41.73% 8.15%
Switched 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Calculated 45.75 38.08 7.43 91.27 50.13% 41.73% 8.15%
_____________________________________________________
1992
Uncounted 3.50%
Switched 3.70%
Projected 46-35-19%
............Clinton Bush Perot Total Clinton Bush Perot
Recorded 44.91 39.10 19.74 103.75 43.28% 37.69% 19.03%
Projected 49.46 37.63 20.43 107.51 46.00% 35.00% 19.00%
Uncounted -2.82 -0.64 -0.30 -3.76 -2.63% -0.60% -0.28%
Pre-Switch 46.63 36.99 20.13 103.75 44.95% 35.65% 19.40%
Switched -1.73 1.73 0.00 0.00 -1.66% 1.66% 0.00%
Calculated 44.91 38.72 20.13 103.75 43.29% 37.32% 19.40%
_____________________________________________________
1988
Uncounted 4.00%
Switched 6.00%
Projected 50.1-49.9%
........ Dukakis Bush Total Dukakis Bush
Recorded 41.81 48.89 90.70 46.10% 53.90%
Projected 47.33 47.14 94.47 50.10% 49.90%
Uncounted -2.83 -0.94 -3.78 -3.00% -1.00%
Pre-Switch 44.50 46.20 90.70 49.06% 50.94%
Switched -2.67 2.67 0.00 -2.94% 2.94%
Calculated 41.83 48.87 90.70 46.12% 53.88%
_____________________________________________________
1980
Uncounted 3.95%
Switched 0.00%
Projected 43.0-50.5-6.5%
............ Carter Reagan Anderson Total Carter Reagan Anderson
Recorded 35.48 43.90 5.72 85.11 41.69% 51.59% 6.72%
Projected 38.10 44.75 5.76 88.61 43.00% 50.50% 6.50%
Uncounted -2.62 -0.73 -0.14 -3.50 -2.96% -0.83% -0.16%
Pre-Switch 35.48 44.01 5.62 85.11 40.04% 49.67% 6.34%
Switched 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Calculated 35.48 44.01 5.62 85.11 41.68% 51.71% 6.60%
_____________________________________________________
1976
Uncounted 4.00%
Switched 0.00%
Projected 52-48%
............ Carter Ford Total Carter Ford
Recorded 40.83 39.15 79.98 51.05% 48.95%
Projected 43.32 39.99 83.31 52.00% 48.00%
Uncounted -2.50 -0.83 -3.33 -3.00% -1.00%
Pre-Switch 40.82 39.16 79.98 49.00% 47.00%
Switched 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00%
Calculated 40.82 39.16 79.98 51.04% 48.96%
_____________________________________________________
1968
Uncounted 4.00%
Switched 0.00%
Projected 44.2% 42.6% 13.7%
.............Humphrey Nixon Wallace Total Humphrey Nixon Wallace
Recorded 31.28 31.79 9.91 72.97 42.86% 43.56% 13.58%
Projected 33.59 32.38 10.41 76.01 44.20% 42.60% 13.70%
Uncounted -2.28 -0.58 -0.18 -3.04 -3.00% -0.76% -0.24%
Pre-Switch 31.31 31.80 10.23 72.97 41.20% 41.84% 13.46%
Switched 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Calculated 31.31 31.80 10.23 72.97 42.92% 43.58% 14.02%
_____________________________________________________
1960
Uncounted 4.00%
Switched 0.00%
Projected 51.1% 48.9%
............Kennedy Nixon Total Kennedy Nixon
Recorded 34.23 34.11 68.34 50.09% 49.91%
Projected 36.37 34.81 71.18 51.10% 48.90%
Uncounted -2.14 -0.71 -2.85 -3.00% -1.00%
Pre-Switch 34.24 34.10 68.34 48.10% 47.90%
Switched 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00%
Calculated 34.24 34.10 68.34 50.10% 49.90%
_____________________________________________________
1948
Uncounted 4.00%
Switched 0.00%
Projected 50.9% 44.3% 4.8%
............Truman Dewey Other Total Truman Dewey Other
Recorded 24.18 21.99 2.33 48.50 49.86% 45.35% 4.80%
Projected 25.71 22.38 2.42 50.52 50.90% 44.30% 4.80%
Uncounted -1.52 -0.46 -0.04 -2.02 -3.00% -0.92% -0.08%
Pre-Switch 24.20 21.91 2.38 48.50 47.90% 43.38% 4.72%
Switched 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Calculated 24.20 21.91 2.38 48.50 49.90% 45.19% 4.92%
____________________________________________________________________
HISTORICAL FINAL NATIONAL EXIT POLL
(matched to recorded vote)
OVERALL
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Total
Dem 36 50 41 40 45 43 49 48 48
Rep 61 48 51 59 53 38 41 48 51
Ind -- -- 7 -- -- 19 8 2 --
Men
Dem 36 50 36 37 41 41 43 42 44
Rep 62 48 55 62 57 38 44 53 55
Ind -- -- 7 -- -- 21 10 3 --
Women
Dem 37 50 45 44 49 45 54 54 51
Rep 61 48 47 56 50 37 38 43 48
Ind -- -- 7 -- -- 17 7 2 --
_____________________________________________________
RACE & ETHNICITY
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
White
Dem 31 47 36 35 40 39 43 42 41
Rep 67 52 56 64 59 40 46 54 58
Ind -- -- 7 -- -- 20 9 3 --
Black
Dem 82 83 85 90 86 83 84 90 88
Rep 18 16 11 9 12 10 12 8 11
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 7 4 1 --
Hispanic
Dem 63 76 59 62 69 61 72 67 58
Rep 35 24 33 37 30 25 21 31 43
Ind -- -- 6 -- -- 14 6 2 --
Asian
Dem 31 43 54 56
Rep 55 48 41 44
Ind 15 8 4 --
_____________________________________________________
AGE
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
18-29
Dem 46 51 44 40 47 43 53 48 54
Rep 52 47 43 59 52 34 34 46 45
Ind -- -- 11 -- -- 22 10 5 --
30-44
Dem 33 49 36 42 45 41 48 48 46
Rep 64 49 55 57 54 38 41 49 53
Ind -- -- 8 -- -- 21 9 2 --
45-59
Dem 33 47 39 40 42 41 48 48 48
Rep 64 52 55 60 57 40 41 49 51
Ind -- -- 5 -- -- 19 9 2 --
60+
Dem 31 47 41 39 49 50 48 51 46
Rep 68 52 54 60 50 38 44 47 54
Ind -- -- 4 -- -- 12 7 2 --
_____________________________________________________
FAMILY STATUS
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Married
Dem 38 42 40 44 44 42
Rep 62 57 41 46 53 57
Ind -- -- 20 9 2 --
Not Married
Dem 47 53 51 57 57 58
Rep 52 46 30 31 38 40
Ind -- -- 19 9 4 --
Children under 18
Dem 44 40 48 45 45
Rep 55 38 41 52 53
Ind -- 22 9 2 --
Gay/lesbian or bi-sexual
Dem 72 66 71 77
Rep 14 22 25 23
Ind 14 7 4 --
_____________________________________________________
PARTY ID
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Republican
Dem 6 9 9 7 8 10 13 8 6
Rep 93 90 86 92 91 73 80 91 93
Ind -- -- 4 -- -- 17 6 1 --
Independent
Dem 33 43 30 36 43 38 43 45 49
Rep 65 54 55 63 55 32 35 47 48
Ind -- -- 12 -- -- 30 17 6 --
Democrat
Dem 33 77 67 74 82 77 84 86 89
Rep 64 22 26 25 17 10 10 11 11
Ind -- -- 6 -- -- 13 5 2 --
_____________________________________________________
IDEOLOGY
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Liberal
Dem 71 60 70 81 68 78 80 85
Rep 26 25 28 18 14 11 13 13
Ind -- 11 -- -- 18 7 6 --
Moderate
Dem 51 42 47 50 47 57 52 54
Rep 48 49 53 49 31 33 44 45
Ind -- 8 -- -- 21 9 2 --
Conservative
Dem 29 23 17 19 18 20 17 15
Rep 70 73 82 80 64 71 81 84
Ind -- 4 -- -- 18 8 1 --
_____________________________________________________
REPUBLICAN
Liberal
Dem 17 17 11 27 54 44 31 22
Rep 82 78 88 73 17 48 67 78
Ind -- 5 -- -- 30 9 1 --
Moderate
Dem 11 10 7 12 63 20 11 11
Rep 88 83 93 87 15 72 88 88
Ind -- 7 -- -- 21 7 1 --
Conservative
Dem 6 5 4 4 82 6 4 3
Rep 93 91 95 95 5 88 95 97
Ind -- 3 -- -- 13 5 0 --
_____________________________________________________
INDEPENDENT
Liberal
Dem 64 51 58 71 17 58 68 79
Rep 29 26 40 26 54 15 17 17
Ind -- 17 -- -- 30 18 14 --
Moderate
Dem 45 30 42 47 28 50 48 51
Rep 53 53 57 51 43 30 45 47
Ind -- 14 -- -- 30 17 5 --
Conservative
Dem 26 18 13 20 53 19 17 21
Rep 72 75 85 77 17 60 79 76
Ind -- 6 -- -- 30 19 2 --
_____________________________________________________
DEMOCRATIC
Liberal
Dem 86 73 88 93 5 89 91 95
Rep 12 14 11 6 85 5 5 4
Ind -- 10 -- -- 11 4 3 --
Moderate
Dem 77 67 78 81 9 84 86 87
Rep 22 27 22 18 76 10 12 13
Ind -- 5 -- -- 15 5 1 --
Conservative
Dem 64 56 54 65 23 69 73 76
Rep 35 39 46 34 61 23 26 23
Ind -- 4 -- -- 16 7 0 --
_____________________________________________________
RELIGION
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Protestant
Dem 28 44 35 32 38 36 41 40 40
Rep 70 55 59 67 61 45 50 58 59
Ind -- -- 6 -- -- 18 8 1 --
White Protestant
Dem 22 41 31 27 33 33 36 34 32
Rep 76 58 63 72 66 47 53 63 67
Ind -- -- 6 -- -- 21 10 2 --
Catholic
Dem 44 54 42 45 47 44 53 49 47
Rep 54 44 50 54 52 35 37 47 52
Ind -- -- 7 -- -- 20 9 2 --
Jewish
Dem 64 64 45 67 64 80 78 79 74
Rep 34 34 39 31 35 11 16 19 25
Ind -- -- 15 -- -- 9 3 1 --
Attend church at least 1/week
Dem 36 39 39
Rep 48 59 61
Ind 15 2 --
_____________________________________________________
SIZE OF PLACE
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Pop> 500K
Dem 56 62 58 68 71 60
Rep 43 37 28 25 26 39
Ind -- -- 13 6 3 --
Pop 50-500K
Dem 40 52 50 50 57 49
Rep 58 47 33 39 40 49
Ind -- -- 16 8 2 --
Suburbs
Dem 33 35 38 42 41 47 47 47
Rep 65 55 61 57 39 42 49 52
Ind -- 9 -- -- 21 8 3 --
Pop 10-50K
Dem 40 38 39 48 38 48
Rep 57 61 42 41 59 50
Ind -- -- 20 9 2 --
Rural
Dem 30 39 32 44 39 44 37 40
Rep 68 55 67 55 40 46 59 59
Ind -- 5 -- -- 20 10 2 --
_____________________________________________________
FAMILY INCOME
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Under 15k
Dem 58 59 57 63
Rep 23 28 37 36
Ind 19 11 4 --
15-30k
Dem 45 53 54 57
Rep 35 36 41 42
Ind 20 9 3 --
30-50k
Dem 41 48 49 50
Rep 38 40 48 49
Ind 21 10 2 --
50-75k
Dem 40 47 46 43
Rep 41 45 51 56
Ind 18 7 2 --
75-100k
Dem 44 45 45
Rep 48 52 55
Ind 7 2 --
200k+
Dem 35
Rep 63
Ind --
100k+
Dem 32 38 43 41
Rep 65 54 54 58
Ind -- 6 2 --
50k+
Dem 26 30 37 39 45 44 43
Rep 64 69 62 44 48 52 56
Ind 10 -- -- 17 7 2 --
_____________________________________________________
FINANCIAL SITUATION
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Better
Dem 30 55 14 24 66 61 19
Rep 70 37 86 61 26 36 80
Ind -- 7 -- 14 6 2 --
Same
Dem 51 47 50 41 46 35 50
Rep 49 46 50 42 45 60 49
Ind -- 7 -- 17 8 3 --
Worse
Dem 77 25 85 60 27 33 79
Rep 23 66 15 14 57 63 20
Ind -- 8 -- 25 13 4 --
_____________________________________________________
UNION HOUSEHOLDS
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Dem 47 59 49 53 57 55 59 59 59
Rep 50 39 44 46 42 24 30 37 40
Ind 6 -- -- 21 9 3 --
_____________________________________________________
EDUCATION
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Not High School Grad
Dem 51 50 56 54 59 59 50
Rep 46 50 43 28 28 39 49
Ind 2 -- -- 18 11 1 --
High School Grad
Dem 43 39 49 43 51 48 47
Rep 51 60 50 36 35 49 52
Ind 4 -- -- 21 13 1 --
Some College
Dem 35 38 42 41 48 45 46
Rep 55 61 57 37 40 51 54
Ind 8 -- -- 21 10 3 --
College Grad
Dem 35 41 43 44 47 48 49
Rep 52 58 56 39 44 48 49
Ind 11 -- -- 17 7 3 --
College Grad/Post Grad Studies
Dem 37 39 44 45 46
Rep 62 41 46 51 52
Ind -- 20 8 3 --
Post Graduate Degree
Dem 48 50 52 52 55
Rep 50 36 40 44 44
Ind -- 14 5 3 --
_____________________________________________________
FIRST-TIME VOTERS
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Dem 38 47 46 54 52 53
Rep 61 51 32 34 43 46
Ind -- -- 22 11 4 --
_____________________________________________________
CONGRESSIONAL VOTE
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
For Democrat
Dem 75 69 76 72 74 84 85 88
Rep 23 22 23 27 11 8 11 11
Ind -- 7 -- -- 15 7 3 --
For Republican
Dem 12 11 7 17 10 15 12 9
Rep 87 83 93 82 72 76 86 91
Ind -- 5 -- -- 18 8 1 --
_____________________________________________________
PREVIOUS PRESIDENTIAL VOTE
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Democrat
Dem 78 80 63 82 92 83 85 82 90
Rep 18 26 29 18 7 5 9 15 10
Ind -- -- 6 -- -- 12 4 2 --
Republican
Dem 9 18 11 11 19 21 13 7 9
Rep 90 73 83 88 80 59 82 91 91
Ind -- -- 6 -- -- 20 4 1 --
_____________________________________________________
GENDER and RACE
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
White men
Dem 31 47 32 32 36 37 38 36 38
Rep 66 51 59 67 63 40 49 60 61
Ind -- -- 7 -- -- 22 11 3 --
White women
Dem 31 46 39 38 43 41 48 48 44
Rep 68 52 52 62 56 41 43 49 55
Ind -- -- 8 -- -- 19 8 2 --
Black men
Dem 77 80 82 85 81 78 78 85 86
Rep 23 19 14 12 15 13 15 12 13
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 9 5 1 --
Black women
Dem 86 86 88 93 90 87 89 94 90
Rep 14 14 9 7 9 8 8 6 10
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 5 2 0 --
_____________________________________________________
AGE by GENDER and RACE
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
AGE
Men 18-29
Dem 47 50 39 36 43 38 47 41 51
Rep 51 47 47 63 55 36 38 51 47
Ind -- -- 11 -- -- 25 12 6 --
Women 18-29
Dem 45 51 49 44 50 48 58 53 56
Rep 53 47 39 55 49 33 31 42 43
Ind -- -- 10 -- -- 20 9 4 --
Men 30-44
Dem 30 49 31 38 40 39 41 42 42
Rep 67 49 59 61 58 38 46 54 56
Ind -- -- 8 -- -- 23 10 2 --
Women 30-44
Dem 36 49 41 45 49 43 54 53 49
Rep 62 49 50 54 50 38 37 45 50
Ind -- -- 8 -- -- 19 7 2 --
Men 45-59
Dem 32 48 34 36 36 40 44 41 45
Rep 66 51 60 62 62 40 43 55 54
Ind -- -- 5 -- -- 20 10 2 --
Women 45-59
Dem 36 46 44 42 48 42 52 53 50
Rep 62 53 50 57 52 40 40 44 49
Ind -- -- 5 -- -- 18 7 2 --
Men 60+
Dem 32 44 40 37 46 49 43 44 39
Rep 66 55 56 62 53 36 48 53 60
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 15 8 2 --
Women 60+
Dem 29 49 43 42 52 50 53 56 51
Rep 70 50 52 58 48 40 41 42 49
Ind -- -- 4 -- -- 10 5 2 --
_____________________________________________________
RACE
Whites 18-29
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Dem 41 48 38 31 39 38 45 39 45
Rep 57 50 48 68 60 38 41 55 54
Ind -- -- 12 -- -- 24 11 5 --
Blacks 18-29
Dem 87 81 90 94 86 85 83 91 86
Rep 12 18 7 6 12 7 11 8 13
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 8 6 1 --
Whites 30-44
Dem 26 45 31 36 39 36 41 41 37
Rep 71 53 59 63 60 41 47 56 62
Ind -- -- 8 -- -- 23 10 2 --
Blacks 30-44
Dem 85 87 84 89 85 81 84 91 87
Rep 15 12 12 10 13 12 11 7 11
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 7 3 0 --
Whites 45-59
Dem 29 44 34 34 36 37 43 42 42
Rep 69 55 59 65 63 42 46 54 58
Ind -- -- 5 -- -- 21 9 2 --
Blacks 45-59
Dem 78 80 84 87 86 80 85 89 90
Rep 22 19 13 10 10 14 12 9 9
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 6 3 1 --
Whites 60+
Dem 26 45 39 37 45 47 45 46 41
Rep 72 54 56 63 54 40 47 52 58
Ind -- -- 4 -- -- 13 7 2 --
Blacks 60+
Dem 76 71 77 83 90 88 82 87 84
Rep 24 29 20 15 9 7 16 11 14
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 5 1 1 --
_____________________________________________________
MARRIAGE and URBANITY by GENDER
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Married men
Dem 35 39 38 40 38 39
Rep 65 60 42 48 58 60
Ind -- -- 21 10 2 --
Unmarried men
Dem 41 46 41 48 48 53
Rep 59 54 40 43 49 45
Ind -- -- 19 7 2 --
Married women
Dem 42 47 48 49 48 44
Rep 55 51 29 35 46 55
Ind -- -- 22 12 4 --
Unmarried women
Dem 50 57 53 62 63 62
Rep 49 42 31 28 32 37
Ind -- -- 15 7 3 --
Suburban men
Dem 31 30 33 36 36 41 41 44
Rep 66 60 66 62 47 47 55 55
Ind -- 8 -- -- 17 10 3 --
Suburban women
Dem 32 36 43 46 45 53 52 50
Rep 66 54 57 53 41 39 45 49
Ind -- 9 -- -- 14 7 2 --
_____________________________________________________
POLITICS by RACE and GENDER
RACE
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
White Republican
Dem 5 9 8 6 8 10 12 7 5
Rep 93 90 87 93 92 73 81 92 94
Ind -- -- 4 -- -- 17 6 1 --
Black Republican
Dem 29 10 31 ** 34 ** 39 ** 32
Rep 71 90 62 ** 61 ** 54 ** 66
Ind -- -- 6 -- -- ** 5 ** --
White independent
Dem 31 42 27 33 41 36 41 43 47
Rep 65 55 58 66 57 33 38 49 51
Ind -- -- 12 -- -- 31 18 6 --
Black independent
Dem 74 65 78 80 75 64 69 74 77
Rep 26 32 16 19 21 18 18 22 20
Ind -- -- 5 -- -- 18 10 2 --
White Democrat
Dem 54 74 62 69 79 74 81 83 87
Rep 44 25 30 30 21 11 12 14 12
Ind -- -- 6 -- -- 15 6 2 --
Black Democrat
Dem 92 94 94 96 95 92 93 97 96
Rep 8 6 4 3 4 5 4 2 4
Ind -- -- 2 -- -- 4 2 0 --
_____________________________________________________
GENDER
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Republican Men
Dem 6 9 8 7 8 11 11 7 6
Rep 92 90 87 93 91 71 81 92 93
Ind -- -- 4 -- -- 19 6 1 --
Republican Women
Dem 6 10 10 8 9 10 15 9 7
Rep 93 90 85 92 90 74 79 90 93
Ind -- -- 5 -- -- 16 5 1 --
Independent Men
Dem 32 44 27 32 40 36 38 39 47
Rep 64 53 60 66 58 32 37 51 49
Ind -- -- 10 -- -- 32 21 7 --
Independent Women
Dem 34 42 34 40 46 40 49 51 52
Rep 63 55 50 59 52 31 34 42 46
Ind -- -- 13 -- -- 28 14 5 --
Democratic Men
Dem 60 77 63 71 80 76 82 85 88
Rep 38 22 29 28 18 9 11 12 11
Ind -- -- 6 -- -- 15 6 2 --
Democratic Women
Dem 62 78 71 77 84 78 85 87 89
Rep 37 22 23 22 16 10 9 11 10
Ind -- -- 5 -- -- 12 4 1 --
_____________________________________________________
GENDER and EDUCATION
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Men-no college
Dem 44 39 49 44 48 46 44
Rep 52 60 49 32 35 52 55
Ind 3 -- -- 23 16 1 --
Women-no college
Dem 47 43 52 46 58 53 50
Rep 48 56 47 36 32 44 49
Ind 5 -- -- 18 10 1 --
Men-some college
Dem 31 33 38 40 42 40 42
Rep 59 65 60 37 44 56 57
Ind 8 -- -- 23 11 3 --
Women-some college
Dem 39 41 45 42 53 50 49
Rep 52 58 54 39 38 48 51
Ind 8 -- -- 19 8 2 --
Men-College Grad
Dem 28 36 36 40 41 39 44
Rep 59 63 63 42 49 57 54
Ind 11 -- -- 19 7 4 --
Women-College Grad
Dem 44 47 51 48 53 57 54
Rep 42 52 49 36 39 40 45
Ind 12 -- -- 16 6 3 --
_____________________________________________________
REGION and RACE
REGION
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
East
Dem 39 51 42 47 49 47 55 56 56
Rep 59 47 47 53 50 35 34 39 43
Ind -- -- 9 -- -- 18 9 3 --
Midwest
Dem 39 48 41 41 47 42 48 48 48
Rep 59 50 51 58 52 37 41 49 51
Ind -- -- 7 -- -- 21 10 2 --
South
Dem 29 54 44 36 41 41 46 43 42
Rep 70 45 52 64 48 43 46 55 58
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 16 7 1 --
West
Dem 40 46 34 38 46 43 48 48 50
Rep 57 51 53 61 52 34 40 46 49
Ind -- -- 10 -- -- 23 8 4 --
_____________________________________________________
RACE
1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004
Whites-East
Dem 34 49 38 42 45 44 51 52 50
Rep 65 50 52 57 54 36 37 44 49
Ind -- -- 10 -- -- 19 10 4 --
Blacks-East
Dem 83 82 85 92 85 78 85 89 86
Rep 16 17 12 7 12 13 12 10 13
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 9 3 1 --
Whites-Midwest
Dem 32 46 37 35 42 40 45 44 43
Rep 65 52 55 64 57 39 43 53 56
Ind -- -- 7 -- -- 22 10 2 --
Blacks-Midwest
Dem 89 90 85 92 91 88 79 89 89
Rep 11 9 11 6 8 8 16 9 11
Ind -- -- 4 -- -- 4 5 1 --
Whites-South
Dem 23 47 35 28 32 34 36 31 29
Rep 76 52 61 71 67 49 56 66 70
Ind -- -- 3 -- -- 18 8 1 --
Blacks-South
Dem 74 81 89 89 86 83 87 92 88
Rep 25 18 9 10 12 11 10 7 11
Ind -- -- 2 -- -- 6 3 0 --
Whites-West
Dem 36 44 32 33 41 39 43 43 45
Rep 60 54 55 66 58 37 44 51 54
Ind -- -- 10 -- -- 24 9 4 --
Blacks-West
Dem 76 83 67 77 83 84 77 86 90
Rep 23 16 26 22 13 5 14 11 9
Ind -- -- 4 -- -- 10 7 1 --
Note: The data come from www.newyorktimes.com/weekinreview.
The page is http://www.nytimes.com/2004/11/07/weekinreview/07conn.html.
The data are unfortunately no longer made available gratis on the site.
The source is described as follows:
”This portrait of the 2004 electorate emerges from interviews with 13,600
voters conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for the
National Election Pool, a consortium of ABC News, The Associated Press, CBS
News, CNN, Fox News and NBC News.”
___________________________________________________________________________
CNN.com - Elections 2006
11/07 U.S. HOUSE NATIONAL EXIT POLL
7:07pm 10,207 Respondents 1:00pm 13,251 Respondents Adjusted
HOW VOTED IN 2004
MIX Dem Rep Other MIX** Dem Rep Other MIX* Dem Rep Other
Kerry 45% 93% 6% 1% 43% 92% 7% 1% 50% 93% 6% 1%
Bush 47% 17% 82% 1% 49% 15% 83% 2% 45% 17% 82% 1%
Other 4% 67% 23% 10% 4% 66% 23% 11% 1% 67% 23% 10%
DNV 4% 67% 30% 3% 4% 66% 32% 2% 4% 67% 30% 3%
TOTAL 100% 55.20% 43.36% 1.44% 100% 52.19% 45.88% 1.93% 100% 57.50% 41.33% 1.17%
GENDER
MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other MIX* Dem Rep Other
Male 49% 53% 45% 2% 49% 50% 47% 3% 48% 55% 43% 2%
Female 51% 57% 42% 1% 51% 55% 43% 2% 52% 59% 40% 1%
TOTAL 100% 55.04% 43.47% 1.49% 100% 52.55% 44.96% 2.49% 100% 57.08% 41.44% 1.48%
RACE/GENDER
MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
WM 39% 47% 51% 2% 39% 44% 53% 3% 39% 50% 48% 2%
WF 40% 51% 48% 1% 40% 49% 50% 1% 40% 53% 45% 2%
NWM 9% 76% 22% 2% 9% 75% 23% 2% 9% 78% 20% 2%
NWF 11% 79% 20% 1% 11% 78% 21% 1% 11% 84% 14% 2%
TOTAL 99% 54.26% 43.27% 1.47% 99% 52.09% 45.05% 1.86% 99% 56.96% 40.06% 1.98%
RACE MIX Dem Rep Other MIX** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
White 80% 49% 49% 2% 79% 47% 51% 2% 80% 50% 48% 2%
Black 10% 88% 12% 0% 10% 89% 10% 1% 10% 90% 10% 0%
Latino 8% 72% 26% 2% 8% 69% 30% 1% 8% 74% 24% 2%
Asian 2% 65% 35% 0% 2% 62% 37% 1% 2% 71% 29% 0%
Other 1% 59% 36% 5% 2% 55% 42% 3% 1% 62% 33% 5%
TOTAL 101% 55.65% 43.54% 1.81% 101% 53.89% 45.27% 1.84% 101% 56.96% 42.23% 1.81%
AGE MIX Dem Rep Other MIX**** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
18-29 11% 60% 38% 2% 12% 60% 38% 2% 11% 62% 36% 2%
30-44 23% 55% 43% 2% 24% 53% 45% 2% 23% 57% 41% 2%
45-59 33% 55% 44% 1% 34% 53% 46% 1% 33% 58% 41% 1%
60+ 33% 53% 45% 2% 29% 50% 48% 2% 33% 54% 44% 2%
TOTAL 100% 54.89% 43.44% 1.67% 99% 52.44% 44.92% 1.64% 100% 56.89% 41.44% 1.67%
INCOME MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
< 15 7% 67% 30% 3% 7% 67% 30% 3% 7% 69% 28% 3%
15-30 12% 63% 35% 2% 12% 61% 36% 3% 12% 65% 33% 2%
30-50 21% 58% 41% 1% 21% 56% 43% 1% 21% 61% 38% 1%
50-75 22% 52% 46% 2% 22% 50% 48% 2% 22% 54% 44% 2%
75-100 15% 53% 46% 1% 15% 52% 47% 1% 15% 54% 45% 1%
100-150 13% 50% 48% 2% 13% 47% 51% 2% 13% 51% 47% 2%
150-200 5% 47% 51% 2% 5% 47% 51% 2% 5% 49% 49% 2%
200+ 5% 48% 51% 1% 5% 45% 53% 2% 5% 49% 50% 1%
TOTAL 100% 55.07% 43.27% 1.66% 100% 53.28% 44.89% 1.83% 100% 56.95% 41.39% 1.66%
EDUCATION MIX Dem Rep Other MIX*** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
NoHS 4% 64% 35% 1% 3% 64% 35% 1% 4% 67% 32% 1%
HSG 21% 57% 42% 1% 21% 55% 44% 1% 21% 59% 40% 1%
Col 30% 52% 46% 2% 31% 51% 47% 2% 30% 54% 44% 2%
Grad 26% 52% 46% 2% 27% 49% 49% 2% 26% 54% 44% 2%
PostG 19% 60% 39% 1% 18% 58% 41% 1% 19% 62% 37% 1%
TOTAL 100% 55.05% 43.39% 1.56% 100% 52.95% 45.47% 1.58% 100% 57.09% 41.35% 1.56%
EDUCATION MIX Dem Rep Other MIX** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
NoDeg 54% 55% 43% 2% 55% 53% 45% 2% 54% 55% 43% 2%
Grad 46% 55% 43% 2% 45% 53% 46% 1% 46% 59% 39% 2%
TOTAL 100% 55.00% 43.00% 2.00% 100% 53.00% 45.45% 1.55% 100% 56.84% 41.16% 2.00%
PARTY ID MIX Dem Rep Other MIX** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Dem 39% 93% 6% 1% 38% 93% 7% 0% 40% 94% 5% 1%
Rep 35% 9% 90% 1% 36% 8% 91% 1% 35% 12% 87% 1%
Ind 26% 58% 38% 4% 26% 57% 39% 4% 25% 61% 35% 4%
TOTAL 100% 54.50% 43.72% 1.78% 100% 53.04% 45.56% 1.40% 100% 57.05% 41.20% 1.75%
IDEOLOGY MIX Dem Rep Other MIX* Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Lib 21% 88% 10% 2% 20% 87% 11% 2% 21% 91% 7% 2%
Mod 48% 62% 36% 2% 47% 60% 38% 2% 48% 64% 34% 2%
Con 32% 21% 77% 2% 32% 20% 78% 2% 32% 22% 76% 2%
TOTAL 101% 54.96% 44.02% 2.02% 99% 52.00% 45.02% 1.98% 101% 56.87% 42.11% 2.02%
RELIGION MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Prot 55% 46% 52% 2% 55% 44% 54% 2% 55% 49% 49% 2%
Cath 26% 56% 43% 1% 26% 55% 44% 1% 26% 58% 41% 1%
Jewish 2% 87% 10% 3% 2% 87% 12% 1% 2% 87% 10% 3%
Other 6% 71% 25% 4% 6% 71% 25% 4% 6% 75% 21% 4%
None 11% 76% 22% 2% 11% 74% 22% 4% 11% 80% 18% 2%
TOTAL 100% 54.22% 43.90% 1.88% 100% 52.64% 45.30% 2.06% 100% 57.07% 41.05% 1.88%
BORN-AGAIN or
EVANGELICAL? MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Yes 33% 42% 57% 1% 34% 41% 58% 1% 33% 45% 54% 1%
No 67% 61% 37% 2% 66% 59% 39% 2% 67% 63% 35% 2%
TOTAL 100% 54.73% 43.60% 1.67% 100% 52.88% 45.46% 1.66% 100% 57.06% 41.27% 1.67%
CHURCH
ATTENDANCE MIX Dem Rep Other MIX* Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Often 17% 39% 59% 2% 17% 38% 60% 2% 17% 43% 55% 2%
Week 28% 48% 51% 1% 28% 46% 53% 1% 28% 51% 48% 1%
Month 11% 58% 40% 2% 12% 57% 41% 2% 11% 64% 34% 2%
Qtr 26% 61% 37% 2% 25% 60% 38% 2% 26% 66% 32% 2%
Never 15% 69% 29% 2% 15% 67% 30% 3% 15% 75% 23% 2%
TOTAL 97% 52.66% 42.68% 1.66% 97% 51.23% 43.96% 1.81% 97% 57.04% 38.30% 1.66%
MARRIED? MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Yes 68% 49% 49% 2% 68% 48% 51% 1% 68% 52% 46% 2%
No 32% 65% 33% 2% 32% 64% 34% 2% 32% 68% 30% 2%
TOTAL 100% 54.12% 43.88% 2.00% 100% 53.12% 45.56% 1.32% 100% 57.12% 40.88% 2.00%
MARRIED BY
GENDER MIX Dem Rep Other MIX* Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Male 35% 49% 49% 2% 35% 47% 51% 2% 35% 51% 47% 2%
Female 33% 50% 49% 1% 33% 48% 50% 2% 33% 55% 44% 1%
No-Male 13% 62% 35% 3% 14% 62% 36% 2% 13% 65% 32% 3%
No-Fem 19% 66% 32% 2% 18% 66% 32% 2% 19% 67% 31% 2%
TOTAL 100% 54.25% 43.95% 1.80% 100% 52.85% 45.15% 2.00% 100% 57.18% 41.02% 1.80%
BUSH JOB
APPROVAL MIX Dem Rep Other MIX* Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Strong 19% 9% 90% 1% 19% 9% 90% 1% 19% 7% 92% 1%
Appr 23% 19% 79% 2% 23% 18% 79% 3% 23% 15% 83% 2%
Dis 14% 60% 38% 2% 15% 59% 38% 3% 14% 79% 19% 2%
StrDis 43% 91% 7% 2% 41% 91% 7% 2% 43% 96% 2% 2%
TOTAL 99% 53.61% 43.60% 1.79% 98% 52.01% 43.84% 2.15% 99% 57.12% 40.09% 1.79%
OPINION OF GOP
LEADERS MIX Dem Rep Other MIX** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Excel 11% 6% 93% 1% 11% 6% 93% 1% 11% 5% 94% 1%
Good 31% 20% 79% 1% 33% 17% 81% 2% 31% 18% 81% 1%
Dis 34% 77% 21% 2% 34% 76% 22% 2% 34% 88% 10% 2%
Angry 22% 94% 4% 2% 21% 94% 4% 2% 22% 95% 3% 2%
TOTAL 98% 53.72% 42.74% 1.54% 99% 51.85% 45.28% 1.87% 98% 56.95% 39.51% 1.54%
CONGRESS JOB APPROVAL
MIX Dem Rep Other MIX* Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Appr 36% 26% 73% 1% 37% 26% 72% 2% 36% 22% 77% 1%
Disap 62% 71% 27% 2% 61% 69% 28% 3% 62% 79% 19% 2%
TOTAL 98% 53.38% 43.02% 1.60% 98% 52.14% 43.28% 2.58% 98% 56.90% 39.50% 1.60%
VOTED TODAY TO…
BUSH MIX Dem Rep Other MIX** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Support 22% 7% 92% 1% 22% 6% 93% 1% 22% 5% 94% 1%
Oppose 38% 93% 5% 2% 36% 93% 5% 2% 38% 96% 2% 2%
Neither 38% 45% 53% 2% 39% 41% 56% 3% 38% 51% 47% 2%
TOTAL 98% 53.98% 42.28% 1.74% 97% 50.79% 44.10% 2.11% 98% 56.96% 39.30% 1.74%
WHEN
DECIDED MIX Dem Rep Other MIX*** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Today 9% 60% 37% 3% 10% 61% 36% 3% 9% 62% 35% 3%
3Days 9% 57% 41% 2% 9% 51% 47% 2% 9% 58% 40% 2%
Week 8% 53% 45% 2% 9% 52% 47% 1% 8% 54% 44% 2%
Month 21% 58% 41% 1% 21% 54% 44% 2% 21% 58% 41% 1%
Before 52% 57% 42% 1% 50% 54% 45% 1% 52% 57% 42% 1%
TOTAL 99% 56.59% 41.07% 1.34% 99% 53.71% 43.80% 1.49% 99% 56.94% 40.72% 1.34%
U.S. IN RIGHT
DIRECTION? MIX Dem Rep Other MIX** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Yes 40% 21% 78% 1% 41% 20% 79% 1% 40% 26% 73% 1%
No 56% 80% 18% 2% 55% 78% 20% 2% 56% 86% 12% 2%
TOTAL 96% 53.20% 41.28% 1.51% 96% 51.10% 43.39% 1.51% 96% 58.56% 35.92% 1.52%
ECONOMY MIX Dem Rep Other MIX*** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Excel 10% 13% 86% 1% 9% 13% 86% 1% 10% 14% 85% 1%
Good 38% 32% 66% 2% 40% 32% 66% 2% 38% 35% 63% 2%
NG 38% 77% 21% 2% 37% 74% 23% 3% 38% 80% 18% 2%
Poor 13% 87% 11% 2% 13% 85% 13% 2% 13% 90% 8% 2%
TOTAL 99% 54.03% 43.09% 1.88% 99% 52.40% 44.34% 2.26% 99% 56.80% 40.32% 1.88%
CHANGE IN FINANCIAL SITUATION
MIX Dem Rep Other MIX*** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Better 29% 28% 71% 1% 30% 28% 71% 1% 29% 29% 70% 1%
Worse 26% 80% 17% 3% 25% 77% 20% 3% 26% 87% 10% 3%
Same 45% 57% 41% 2% 44% 56% 42% 2% 45% 58% 40% 2%
TOTAL 100% 54.57% 43.46% 1.97% 99% 52.29% 44.78% 1.93% 100% 57.13% 40.90% 1.97%
FINANCIAL
SITUATION MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Ahead 31% 36% 63% 1% 31% 34% 65% 1% 31% 39% 60% 1%
Barely 50% 59% 39% 2% 50% 57% 41% 2% 50% 63% 35% 2%
Behind 17% 76% 20% 4% 17% 74% 23% 3% 17% 79% 17% 4%
TOTAL 98% 53.58% 42.43% 1.99% 98% 51.62% 44.56% 1.82% 98% 57.02% 38.99% 1.99%
LIFE FOR NEXT
GENERATION MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Better 30% 38% 61% 1% 30% 37% 62% 1% 30% 39% 60% 1%
Worse 40% 69% 29% 2% 40% 66% 32% 2% 40% 74% 24% 2%
Same 28% 54% 44% 2% 28% 52% 46% 2% 28% 56% 42% 2%
TOTAL 98% 54.12% 42.22% 1.66% 98% 52.06% 44.28% 1.66% 98% 56.98% 39.36% 1.66%
IMPORTANCE OF
IRAQ MIX Dem Rep Other MIX** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Extreme 36% 61% 38% 1% 35% 60% 39% 1% 36% 63% 36% 1%
Very 32% 47% 51% 2% 32% 46% 52% 2% 32% 53% 45% 2%
Some 20% 49% 49% 2% 21% 47% 50% 3% 20% 53% 45% 2%
Not 10% 65% 33% 2% 10% 62% 36% 2% 10% 68% 30% 2%
TOTAL 98% 53.30% 43.10% 1.60% 98% 51.79% 44.39% 1.82% 98% 57.04% 39.36% 1.60%
IMPORTANCE OF
TERRORISM MIX Dem Rep Other MIX** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Extreme 40% 46% 53% 1% 39% 46% 53% 1% 40% 49% 50% 1%
Very 32% 53% 45% 2% 33% 51% 47% 2% 32% 58% 40% 2%
Some 20% 68% 29% 3% 20% 65% 32% 3% 20% 72% 25% 3%
Not 6% 70% 27% 3% 6% 66% 31% 3% 6% 76% 21% 3%
TOTAL 98% 53.16% 43.02% 1.82% 98% 51.73% 44.44% 1.83% 98% 57.12% 39.06% 1.82%
IMPORTANCE OF
ECONOMY MIX Dem Rep Other MIX* Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Extremely 39% 60% 38% 2% 39% 59% 39% 2% 39% 64% 34% 2%
Very 43% 49% 48% 3% 43% 48% 50% 2% 43% 54% 43% 3%
Some 15% 52% 46% 2% 14% 49% 48% 3% 15% 52% 46% 2%
NotAtAll 2% 60% 38% 2% 2% 55% 42% 3% 2% 60% 38% 2%
TOTAL 99% 53.47% 43.12% 2.41% 98% 51.61% 44.27% 2.12% 99% 57.18% 39.41% 2.41%
CONFIDENT VOTES COUNTED
ACCURATELY? MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Very 46% 42% 57% 1% 46% 39% 59% 2% 46% 45% 54% 1%
Some 41% 64% 35% 1% 41% 62% 36% 2% 41% 65% 34% 1%
NotVery 9% 77% 21% 2% 9% 74% 24% 2% 9% 80% 18% 2%
No 3% 69% 26% 5% 3% 68% 27% 5% 3% 85% 10% 5%
TOTAL 99% 54.56% 43.24% 1.20% 99% 52.06% 44.87% 2.07% 99% 57.10% 40.70% 1.20%
SIZE OF COMMUNITY
MIX Dem Rep Other MIX* Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Urban 29% 61% 37% 2% 30% 61% 37% 2% 30% 65% 33% 2%
SuburB 47% 53% 45% 2% 47% 50% 48% 2% 47% 54% 44% 2%
Rural 24% 51% 48% 1% 24% 48% 50% 2% 24% 51% 47% 2%
TOTAL 100% 54.84% 43.40% 1.76% 101% 53.32% 45.66% 2.02% 101% 57.12% 41.86% 2.02%
REGION MIX Dem Rep Other MIX* Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
NE 22% 64% 35% 1% 22% 63% 35% 2% 22% 66% 33% 2%
MidW 27% 57% 42% 1% 27% 52% 47% 1% 27% 59% 40% 1%
South 29% 45% 54% 1% 30% 45% 53% 2% 30% 48% 50% 2%
West 21% 57% 40% 3% 21% 54% 43% 3% 21% 58% 39% 3%
TOTAL 99% 54.49% 43.10% 1.41% 100% 52.74% 45.32% 1.94% 100% 57.03% 41.25% 1.94%
VOTE FOR U.S. SENATE
MIX Dem Rep Other MIX** Dem Rep Other MIX Dem Rep Other
Dem 56% 89% 11% 1% 55% 88% 11% 1% 55% 88% 11% 1%
Rep 40% 11% 87% 2% 41% 11% 88% 1% 41% 11% 88% 1%
TOTAL 96% 54.24% 40.96% 1.51% 96% 52.91% 42.13% 0.96% 96% 52.91% 42.13% 0.96%